Tampa Bay @ Detroit picks
Comerica Park
TB vs DET Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Total RBIs

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent.. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. In the league, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty today.
Total RBIs

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. In the league, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest among every team today.
Total RBIs

Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 4th-best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. In the league, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge today.
Total RBIs

Wenceel Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Wenceel Perez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Ryan Pepiot in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Wenceel Perez will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Yandy Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. In the league, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Extreme flyball hitters like Yandy Diaz usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Flaherty.
Total RBIs

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Spencer Torkelson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases

Spencer Torkelson u1.5 Total Bases (-165)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The #6 field in the league for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Comerica Park.. Ryan Pepiot will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Torkelson in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.7% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards MLB's 5th-deepest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball hitters like Spencer Torkelson tend to perform worse against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot.. Despite posting a .351 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Spencer Torkelson has been lucky given the .023 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Wenceel Perez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-180)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Wenceel Perez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Ryan Pepiot in today's game.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Wenceel Perez will hold that advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Thaiss o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In the league, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Matt Thaiss will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest among every team today.. Matt Thaiss's speed has improved this year. His 24.85 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.34 ft/sec now.
Total Bases

Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 4th-best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today.. In the league, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge today.