Tampa Bay @ Detroit Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 10th-best hitter in the game when assessing his batting average skill. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Chandler Simpson will have the upper hand today. Hitters such as Chandler Simpson with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jack Flaherty who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Jonathan Aranda will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Flaherty today. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest among every team today.

Comerica Park grades out as the #22 field in the game for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jack Flaherty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's game. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.4%) and will be challenged by MLB's 10th-deepest RF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yandy Diaz in today's game.

Wenceel Perez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Ryan Pepiot in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Wenceel Perez will hold that advantage today. Wenceel Perez has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.4% rate last season to 12.6% this season.

Jake Mangum's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Extreme flyball hitters like Jake Mangum generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Flaherty. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest among every team today. In the last week's worth of games, Jake Mangum's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.9% up to 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Vierling in the 78th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Matt Vierling will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Matt Vierling has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 93.6-mph average to last season's 90.1-mph average. Utilizing Statcast metrics, Matt Vierling is in the 76th percentile via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .262.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Parker Meadows will have the upper hand in today's game. Parker Meadows will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Parker Meadows has had some very poor luck with his wOBA this year; his .260 figure is considerably lower than his .294 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest among every team today. In the past week, Junior Caminero's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.4%.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, Matt Thaiss will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest among every team today. Matt Thaiss's speed has improved this year. His 24.85 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.34 ft/sec now. Matt Thaiss has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, checking in at the 88th percentile with a 1.52 K/BB rate.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest among every team today. Jose Caballero has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 85.6-mph average to last season's 83.5-mph average. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 43.9% to 52.4%. Placing in the 86th percentile, Jose Caballero has put up a .337 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 4th-best hitter in the league when assessing his BABIP talent. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Riley Greene will have an edge today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Riley Greene will hold that advantage today.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest among every team today. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.9°, Taylor Walls has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 31° angle in the past week's worth of games. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 15.8% to 19.5%. Taylor Walls has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his batting average this year; his .208 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .239 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Gleyber Torres will hold that advantage today. Gleyber Torres has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last season's 90-mph EV.

Ha-seong Kim is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest among every team today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) may lead us to conclude that Ha-seong Kim has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .234 actual batting average. Ha-seong Kim has exhibited strong plate discipline since the start of last season, grading out in the 97th percentile with a 1.31 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Colt Keith is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Colt Keith will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Colt Keith will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Extreme groundball bats like Javier Baez tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot. Javier Baez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. In the past 14 days, Javier Baez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.1-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph in recent games. Javier Baez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased in recent games, rising from 17.2% on the season to 29.2% in the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Spencer Torkelson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Spencer Torkelson has made significant gains with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 15.2% seasonal rate to 20.5% in the past two weeks.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Dillon Dingler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Dillon Dingler has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 88.9-mph EV. Dillon Dingler has recorded a .325 BABIP this year, grading out in the 79th percentile.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Zach McKinstry will hold that advantage in today's game. Compared to last season, Zach McKinstry has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.5% to 53.1% this season. Zach McKinstry has recorded a .277 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output. The Detroit Tigers infield defense projects as the weakest among every team today. Danny Jansen has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal average of 93.9-mph. Danny Jansen's launch angle this season (25.2°) is significantly better than his 21.6° angle last season. Danny Jansen's launch angle recently (32.1° over the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 25.2° seasonal figure.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.

Brandon Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.