Seattle @ New York picks
Yankee Stadium
SEA vs NYY Picks
MLB Picks
Game Prop

Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
The Mariners have an OPS of .769 on the road while plating a run in the first inning in an MLB-best 45.5% of their away games. They should be able to get to righty Will Warren who has a 5.02 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP. The Yankees lead the majors in OPS (.790) and rank third in run first inning rate (35.6%). They face Logan Gilbert who has a 3.40 ERA through 10 starts but he has struggled away from pitcher-friendly T-Mobile Park, pitching to a 6.00 ERA with an OBA of .313 on the road.
Total RBIs

Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 85°.. Among every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Total RBIs

Cal Raleigh o0.5 Total RBIs (+110)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the league's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 85°.. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs

Jorge Polanco o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 77th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 85°.. Jorge Polanco pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Giancarlo Stanton o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 5th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Giancarlo Stanton is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 85°.. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
Total RBIs

Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 85°.. Among all the teams in action today, the 5th-weakest infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
Total RBIs

Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 7th-best hitter in the game when assessing his BABIP talent.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games today at 85°.. Among every team on the slate today, the worst outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cal Raleigh o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 2.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the league's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 85°.. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases

Giancarlo Stanton u1.5 Total Bases (-165)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The #1 park in baseball for suppressing BABIP to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Logan Gilbert throws from, Giancarlo Stanton encounters a tough challenge today.. In today's game, Giancarlo Stanton is at a disadvantage facing the league's 9th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 34.3% rate (84th percentile).. Giancarlo Stanton's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 98.4-mph average last year has decreased to 86.7-mph.
Total Bases

Trent Grisham u1.5 Total Bases (-170)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The #1 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to LHB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Trent Grisham has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph dropping to 76.6-mph in the past 7 days.. Trent Grisham has been lucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 32.0 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly inflated relative to his 24.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total Bases

Cal Raleigh o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the league's 3rd-best home run hitter.. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Yankee Stadium has the 7th-shortest fences among all parks.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is forecasted to have the hottest weather of all games today at 85°.. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.9% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.