Pittsburgh @ Seattle picks
T-Mobile Park
PIT vs SEA Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against George Kirby.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.
Total RBIs

Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Mitch Garver o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-118)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Bats such as Mitch Garver with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Paul Skenes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.. Mitch Garver will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Mitch Garver has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.1-mph average to last season's 94.6-mph figure.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Henry Davis o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.. Henry Davis's speed has gotten better this year. His 27.73 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.21 ft/sec now.. Henry Davis has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 11.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit lower than his 17.1 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Henry Davis ranks in the 94th percentile with a 21.3° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in MLB.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cole Young o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 1.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Cole Young will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's matchup.. Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Cole Young will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.. Cole Young has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past week.. Cole Young has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 93.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 88.2-mph EV.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Dominic Canzone o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers.. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's game.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the weakest out of every team in action today.. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.. Dominic Canzone has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 15.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 7 days.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jared Triolo o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-170)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Jared Triolo has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.. Jared Triolo has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph mark.. Jared Triolo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 17.2% to 21.4%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Cal Raleigh o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Cal Raleigh as the majors's 3rd-best home run batter.. Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Bats such as Cal Raleigh with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Paul Skenes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Pittsburgh's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Cal Raleigh, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.