Pittsburgh @ Seattle Picks & Props

Cole Young will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's matchup. Cole Young pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Cole Young will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Cole Young has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 18.8% in the past week.

Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Bats such as Mitch Garver with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Paul Skenes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Mitch Garver will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Mitch Garver has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.1-mph average to last season's 94.6-mph figure.

Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Miles Mastrobuoni will have an advantage today. Miles Mastrobuoni has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Miles Mastrobuoni will hold that advantage today. This season, Miles Mastrobuoni has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 91 mph compared to last year's 88.8 mph mark.

Henry Davis pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Henry Davis's speed has gotten better this year. His 27.73 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.21 ft/sec now. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has had bad variance on his side this year. His .263 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .302. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Henry Davis ranks in the 94th percentile with a 21.3° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in MLB.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that George Kirby throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Oneil Cruz has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.

Spencer Horwitz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against George Kirby in today's game. Spencer Horwitz is likely to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Spencer Horwitz has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th in the lineup today. Randy Arozarena pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.6% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against George Kirby. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

Ke'Bryan Hayes's batting average skill is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ke'Bryan Hayes has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Ke'Bryan Hayes has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 95.3-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal figure of 91.9-mph. Ke'Bryan Hayes's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 7.5% to 10.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 7th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his BABIP skill. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Paul Skenes today. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Luke Raley will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. J.P. Crawford is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge in today's game. J.P. Crawford has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Cal Raleigh ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Cal Raleigh is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.8% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Bats such as Cal Raleigh with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Paul Skenes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Jared Triolo has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. Jared Triolo has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph mark. Jared Triolo's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 17.2% to 21.4%.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jorge Polanco ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jorge Polanco is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (38.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Bats such as Jorge Polanco with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Paul Skenes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today.

Tommy Pham has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Tommy Pham's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.6-mph over the course of the season to 96.8-mph lately. Tommy Pham has been unlucky this year, compiling a .269 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .307 — a .038 deviation.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Andrew McCutchen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-shallowest fences among all parks — generally good for dingers. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Paul Skenes in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Dominic Canzone will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. Dominic Canzone has made significant improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 15.3% seasonal rate to 25% in the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-worst infield defense belongs to the Seattle Mariners.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Benjamin Williamson has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-weakest out of every team in action today. Benjamin Williamson will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. Grading out in the 94th percentile, Benjamin Williamson sits with a .352 BABIP this year.