Texas @ San Diego picks
PETCO Park
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Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Total Bases


JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
The Padres star has reverse splits, hitting .288/.374/.508 with a 150 wRC+ against RHP. The 26-year-old has crushed four-seamers (151 wRC+) and sliders (181 wRC+), Jack Leiter’s two most-utilized pitches (combined 76.3%) against righties. He’ll also sprinkle in sinkers (13.4%), but that’s the other pitch Tatis absolutely loves to see (170 wRC+).
Total RBIs

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 9th-best batter in the majors.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 2nd-shallowest CF fences today.
Total RBIs

Adolis Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Total RBIs

Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Xander Bogaerts will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Jake Burger o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jake Burger projects as the 20th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jake Burger will have the handedness advantage against David Morgan in today's game... and even better, Morgan has a huge platoon split.
Total RBIs

Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.
Total RBIs

Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against David Morgan in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Morgan has a huge platoon split.
Total RBIs

Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability.. Manny Machado is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Jonah Heim o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against David Morgan... and even better, Morgan has a huge platoon split.. Jonah Heim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Over the last 7 days, Jonah Heim's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.8% up to 14.3%.
Total RBIs

Jackson Merrill o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jackson Merrill's batting average talent is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jackson Merrill is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Petco Park as the 5th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for left-handed home runs.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Jackson Merrill will have an advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Martin Maldonado o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 1.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #5 ballpark in MLB for boosting home runs to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Petco Park.. The 2nd-shallowest CF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Petco Park.. On average, the fence height at Petco Park is the 5th-shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Martin Maldonado will hold that advantage in today's game.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Martin Maldonado ranks in the 77th percentile with a 16.5° launch angle, which is one of the steepest angles in the majors.