New York @ New York picks

Entering this matchup, they rank in the top four in the league in runs scored per game, slugging percentage, OPS and home runs. The New York Yankees outrank the New York Mets in each of those four key categories. Not only do they have the hitting advantage, but they also boast the pitching edge with left-hander Carlos Rodón taking the mound. Rodón has quietly been one of the best pitchers in the American League this year. Through 18 starts, the former No. 3 overall draft pick is 9-5 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.00 WHIP. That success is likely to continue against the Mets, a team he has dominated throughout his career. Rodón is 3-0 with a 1.15 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in three career starts against them.

June was Rodon’s worst month of the season as he posted a 3.71 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over six starts. We also saw him record just 33 Ks in those six games – he had 38 in five starts in April and 45 in six in March. The southpaw has been Under 5.5 Ks in four of his last five starts and hasn’t pitched beyond the sixth inning in any of those games either. The Mets are one of the most disciplined teams in the MLB, striking out just 7.81 times per game (8th), so I don’t see Rodon getting a ton of punchouts if he has another relatively short outing.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Oswald Peraza pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Oswald Peraza has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .157 mark is deflated compared to his .202 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Oswald Peraza is remarkably toolsy, grading out in the 89th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.93 ft/sec this year.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Francisco Lindor ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the dish, Francisco Lindor will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Carlos Rodon in today's matchup.. Francisco Lindor pulls many of his flyballs (36.3% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Pete Alonso projects as the 16th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Pete Alonso will have the handedness advantage against Carlos Rodon today.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the New York Yankees.

When estimating his home run talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Frankie Montas in today's matchup.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Trent Grisham can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Giancarlo Stanton projects as the 5th-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Giancarlo Stanton pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 82nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Giancarlo Stanton's launch angle this year (19.4°) is quite a bit higher than his 14.3° angle last season.

Aaron Judge projects as the best hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Aaron Judge hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today.. Aaron Judge has made sizeable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 27.2% seasonal rate to 39.4% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 95th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Frankie Montas today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ben Rice ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Ben Rice is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Ben Rice will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Frankie Montas today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Oswald Peraza pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. Oswald Peraza has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .157 mark is deflated compared to his .202 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Oswald Peraza is remarkably toolsy, grading out in the 89th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.93 ft/sec this year.