The New York Mets host the New York Yankees in the second matchup of this three-game Subway Series at Citi Field. MLB odds list the Yankees as a -148 favorite, while the total sits at nine.
My Yankees vs. Mets predictions target a side in this Subway Series matchup.
Read on for my MLB picks for Saturday, July 5.
Yankees vs Mets prediction
My Yankees vs Mets best bet: Yankees moneyline (-148 at FanDuel)
The Bronx Bombers are living up to their nickname this season. Entering this matchup, they rank in the top four in the league in runs scored per game, slugging percentage, OPS and home runs.
The New York Yankees outrank the New York Mets in each of those four key categories. Not only do they have the hitting advantage, but they also boast the pitching edge with left-hander Carlos Rodón taking the mound.
Rodón has quietly been one of the best pitchers in the American League this year. Through 18 starts, the former No. 3 overall draft pick is 9-5 with a 2.95 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.
His underlying metrics are even stronger. This season, the southpaw owns a 2.89 expected ERA (xERA) and a .200 expected batting average (xBA), two of the best marks in baseball.
That success is likely to continue against the Mets, a team he has dominated throughout his career. Rodón is 3-0 with a 1.15 ERA and 1.15 WHIP in three career starts against them.
Yankees vs Mets same-game parlay (SGP)
Yankees moneyline
Carlos Rodón 7+ strikeouts
Cody Bellinger to record 2+ total bases
Carlos Rodón’s greatest strength this season has been his ability to generate strikeouts. He ranks in the 91st percentile in whiff rate and the 87th percentile in strikeout rate.
If the Yankees are to win this game, they’ll need some offensive support as well. One of the top candidates to contribute is Cody Bellinger, who has recorded two or more total bases in four of his past six games.
Yankees vs Mets odds
Yankees vs Mets live odds
Yankees vs Mets opening odds
- Moneyline: New York (AL) -148 | New York (NL) +126
- Run line: New York (AL) -1.5 (+106) | New York (NL) +1.5 (-128)
- Over/Under: Over 9 (-110) | Under 9 (-110)
Yankees vs Mets trend
Carlos Rodón is 3-0 through three career starts against the Mets. Find more MLB betting trends for Yankees vs. Mets.
How to watch Yankees vs Mets and game info
| Location | CitiField, Flushing, NY |
| Date | Saturday, 7-5-2025 |
| First pitch | 4:10 p.m. ET |
| TV | YES, SNY, FS1 |
| Yankees starting pitcher | Carlos Rodon (9-5, 2.95 ERA) |
| Mets starting pitcher | Frankie Montas (0-1, 6.00 ERA) |
Yankees vs Mets latest injuries
Yankees vs Mets weather
Odds are correct at the time of publishing and are subject to change.
Not intended for use in MA.
Affiliate Disclosure: Our team of experts has thoroughly researched and handpicked each product that appears on our website. We may receive compensation if you sign up through our links.
