Cincinnati @ Philadelphia props

The #8 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Alec Bohm's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 92.3-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 83.2-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Alec Bohm's launch angle this season (6.8°) is considerably lower than his 10° mark last year. Alec Bohm's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls in recent games (1° in the past 14 days) is significantly lower than his 8.5° seasonal mark.

The #8 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Compared to his seasonal angle of 15.5°, Nick Castellanos has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (8.6°) in the past 14 days. As it relates to plate discipline, Nick Castellanos's talent is quite bad, putting up a 3.73 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 22nd percentile.

The #8 ballpark in baseball for suppressing BABIP to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citizens Bank Park. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which generally leads to lower offensive output. Trea Turner has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 7% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last week. Trea Turner's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (6.7°) is significantly worse than his 9.7° mark last season. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 42.2% on the season to 20% over the past week.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies. Will Benson has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.8-mph average to last year's 89.4-mph figure.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters. Bryce Harper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Matt McLain's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt McLain is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters.

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters. Austin Hays will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez today. Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters. Otto Kemp will have the handedness advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's matchup.

J.T. Realmuto's BABIP skill is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have the upper hand today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 3rd-best hitter in the game when it comes to his BABIP skill. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 76th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters. Noelvi Marte will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's matchup.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Spencer Steer will have the upper hand in today's game. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.4% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 20th-best batter in the majors. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters. Jose Trevino will have the handedness advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's game. Jose Trevino pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Santiago Espinal is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Santiago Espinal will have the upper hand in today's game.

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP skill is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters. Tyler Stephenson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ranger Suarez in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rece Hinds in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters. Rece Hinds will have the handedness advantage over Ranger Suarez in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 77th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast expects the 4th-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 88°. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 8th-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Johan Rojas will have an advantage in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 2nd-weakest among every team on the slate today.

Christian Encarnacion-Strand has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.

Gavin Lux has gone over 0.5 in 5 of his last 10 games.