Milwaukee @ Miami picks

Both of these teams have struggled at the dish and there will be a 16 mph blowing towards the infield at loanDepot Park today. The Brewers are 21st in the majors in slugging percentage (.382) while the Marlins are 25th in slugging percentage at home (.372). Milwaukee will send rookie Chad Patrick to the hill tonight and he has pitched to a 3.51 ERA in 17 starts. Marlins righty Cal Quantrill has struggled but has been solid in the opening frame where he has posted a 1.69 ERA with an OBA of .207. 

Both of these teams are mediocre at the dish and there will be a 16 mph blowing towards the infield at loanDepot Park today. The Brewers are 21st in the majors in slugging percentage (.382) while the Marlins slug just .372 at home — the sixth-lowest number in the majors. Milwaukee will start rookie Chad Patrick and he has a solid 3.51 ERA in 17 starts. Marlins righty Cal Quantrill has struggled but he's been reliable in the opening frame where he has posted a 1.69 ERA with an OBA of .207.

Given that flyball pitchers struggle the most against groundball hitters, Chad Patrick (38.9% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 4 GB hitters in Miami's projected batting order.. Chad Patrick will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today.. Among all starters, Chad Patrick's fastball velocity of 87.1 mph is in the 2nd percentile this year.. Chad Patrick has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his strikeouts this year, notching a 9.33 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.38 — a 0.96 K/9 discrepancy.

As it relates to his BABIP talent, Christian Yelich is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Yelich is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Hitting from the opposite that Cal Quantrill throws from, Christian Yelich will have an edge today.. Extreme flyball batters like Christian Yelich are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Cal Quantrill.. Christian Yelich has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 8.5% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the last 7 days.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today.. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. Extreme flyball batters like William Contreras usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Cal Quantrill.. William Contreras has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.1-mph to 95.4-mph in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage today.. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.. The Barrel% of Kyle Stowers has significantly improved, with an increase from 11% last year to 19.9% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Jesus Sanchez has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 12.3% seasonal rate to 23.1% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.7°, Jackson Chourio has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.1° mark in the last 14 days.. With a .299 Isolated Power (ISO) this year, Jackson Chourio is positioned in the 77th percentile.

Rhys Hoskins has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.8-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 90.1-mph EV.. Over the last two weeks, Rhys Hoskins has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 24.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.1°.

Liam Hicks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chad Patrick in today's game.. Liam Hicks will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.. Liam Hicks's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better recently, rising from 46.8% on the season to 55% over the last two weeks.. Checking in at the 75th percentile, Liam Hicks sports a .343 wOBA (widely regarded as the top measure of overall offense) this year.. By putting up a 1.35 K/BB rate this year, Liam Hicks has displayed good plate discipline, placing in the 92nd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Cal Quantrill in the 7th percentile when assessing his overall pitching talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Quantrill to throw 85 pitches today (13th-least on the slate), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. The #6 venue in Major League Baseball for boosting walks, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. Given that groundball batters hold a significant edge over flyball pitchers, Cal Quantrill and his 33.5% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a difficult position in this matchup going up against 3 opposing GB hitters.. Cal Quantrill allowed a whopping 6 earned runs in his last game started.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Chad Patrick throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage today.. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.. The Barrel% of Kyle Stowers has significantly improved, with an increase from 11% last year to 19.9% this season.