Milwaukee @ Miami Picks & Props

The #7 park in MLB for suppressing batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Sandy Alcantara will have the handedness advantage over William Contreras in today's game. Typically, bats like William Contreras who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Sandy Alcantara.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 7th-worst stadium in the game for LHB batting average. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all parks, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to lower offensive output. The LoanDepot Park roof figures to be closed today, making weather conditions in this match-up -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Typically, hitters like Xavier Edwards who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Quinn Priester.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Quinn Priester today. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Jesus Sanchez has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 12.5% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Connor Norby will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Connor Norby has been unlucky this year. His .282 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .307.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this game. Kyle Stowers will hold the platoon advantage over Quinn Priester in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats in all categories, and Kyle Stowers will hold that advantage today. The Barrel% of Kyle Stowers has significantly improved, with an increase from 11% last year to 19.9% this season.

Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. By putting up a 1.34 K/BB rate this year, Caleb Durbin has displayed strong plate discipline, placing in the 93rd percentile.

Liam Hicks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Quinn Priester in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's game. Liam Hicks has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 92nd percentile with a 1.36 K/BB rate. Sporting a .273 batting average this year, Liam Hicks finds himself in the 77th percentile.

Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Eric Wagaman will hold that advantage in today's game.

Otto Lopez's batting average skill is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Otto Lopez is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Otto Lopez hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage today. Otto Lopez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.8% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Jackson Chourio is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Jackson Chourio hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal average of 11.7°, Jackson Chourio has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 22.3° mark over the past two weeks.

Isaac Collins has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal EV of 89.6-mph. In the past 14 days, Isaac Collins's 57.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.6%. Isaac Collins has compiled a .351 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, ranking in the 81st percentile. With a 1.72 K/BB rate this year, Isaac Collins has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Rhys Hoskins is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Rhys Hoskins usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Sandy Alcantara. Rhys Hoskins has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph to 97.9-mph over the last week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Brice Turang is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Brice Turang will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sandy Alcantara today. Brice Turang's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 45.5% to 51%. Brice Turang has recorded a .274 Expected Batting Average this year, ranking in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Nick Fortes will hold that advantage today. Nick Fortes has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 87.1-mph average to last season's 84.1-mph EV.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Sandy Alcantara throws from, Christian Yelich will have an advantage in today's game. Christian Yelich has made notable strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 8.5% seasonal rate to 25% in the last week's worth of games. Christian Yelich has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.2-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 95.9-mph.

Sal Frelick's batting average skill is projected to be in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Sal Frelick will have the handedness advantage against Sandy Alcantara in today's game. Sal Frelick hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Sal Frelick has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 85.4-mph average to last season's 83.3-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Dane Myers hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Dane Myers will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Dane Myers has recorded a .300 batting average this year, checking in at the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 75th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Agustin Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Agustin Ramirez has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.9% seasonal rate to 24.1% in the last 14 days. In the past 14 days, Agustin Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.6-mph over the course of the season to 102.6-mph lately.

Jake Bauers will have the handedness advantage against Sandy Alcantara today. Hitters such as Jake Bauers with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Sandy Alcantara who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Jake Bauers has made significant strides with his Barrel%, improving his 10.5% rate last season to 16.2% this season. Jake Bauers has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last season's 89.4-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Derek Hill will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Derek Hill has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .235 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .261. Derek Hill's 11% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) is in the 81st percentile since the start of last season. Placing in the 81st percentile, the hardest ball Derek Hill has made contact with since the start of last season reached a maximum exit velocity of 112.3 mph -- a reliable indication of underlying power skill.