Baltimore @ Atlanta picks
Truist Park
BAL vs ATL Picks
MLB Picks
Outs Recorded
Spencer Strider u17.5 Outs Recorded (+118)
Projection 16 (Under)
EV Model Rating
u17.5 +115
-
u17.5 +118
-
u17.5 +126
-
It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Baltimore Orioles offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 6th-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in the majors for base hits.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher's least effective pitch. Spencer Strider has gone to his fastball a lot this year, though: 55% of the time, checking in at the 100th percentile.
Outs Recorded
Charlie Morton u14.5 Outs Recorded (+118)
Projection 13.3 (Under)
EV Model Rating
u14.5 +115
-
u14.5 +118
-
u14.5 +120
-
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Charlie Morton is projected to throw 84 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 11th-least of all pitchers today.. The 2nd-best projected lineup of all teams today in terms of overall offensive skill belongs to the Atlanta Braves.. It may be wise to expect positive regression for the Atlanta Braves offense the rest of the season, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 2nd-unluckiest offense in Major League Baseball this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Truist Park as the 5th-best venue in the majors for base hits.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Total Bases
Gunnar Henderson o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
o1.5 +100
o1.5 +145
-
-
o1.5 +133
-
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Truist Park ranks as the #6 stadium in MLB for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Austin Riley o1.5 Total Bases (+120)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
o1.5 +120
o1.5 +120
-
-
o1.5 +116
-
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Riley in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Austin Riley is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Truist Park profiles as the #6 park in baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Matt Olson o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
o1.5 +120
o1.5 +140
-
-
o1.5 +120
-
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Matt Olson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Truist Park ranks as the #6 stadium in MLB for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park has the 5th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks.. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.
Total Bases
Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
o1.5 +110
o1.5 +105
-
-
o1.5 +100
-
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 5th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. Truist Park profiles as the #6 park in baseball for RHB base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Truist Park sits at the 3rd-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases
Jackson Holliday u1.5 Total Bases (-165)
Projection 1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
u1.5 -200
u1.5 -165
-
-
u0.5 +126
-
Jackson Holliday has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 2nd-deepest LF fences today.. Jackson Holliday will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.. Jackson Holliday has shown weak plate discipline this year, placing in the 19th percentile with a 4.09 K/BB rate.
