Detroit @ Washington Picks & Props

This year, Colt Keith has been replaced by a pinch-hitter in 30% of his appearances when starting against northpaw. Nationals Park ranks as the #27 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Colt Keith today. Colt Keith's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 89.4-mph seasonal figure has decreased to 85.4-mph over the past 7 days.

The #4 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Hitting from the same side that Jake Irvin throws from, Gleyber Torres will be in a tough position in today's matchup. Gleyber Torres will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, decreasing from 18.2% on the season to 0% over the last week.

Nationals Park ranks as the #27 ballpark in MLB for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Riley Greene today. Riley Greene has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.2-mph dropping to 82.2-mph in the last week. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Riley Greene has had some very good luck this year. His .382 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .340.

The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Parker Meadows will have an advantage today. Parker Meadows has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .261 figure is a fair amount lower than his .296 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Wenceel Perez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jake Irvin. Wenceel Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 14.1% to 23.8%.

This year, Amed Rosario has been pulled from the game early in 11% of his appearances when starting against left-handed pitcher. The #4 field in baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Amed Rosario's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (2.9°) is quite a bit lower than his 7.3° figure last season. This season, there has been a decline in Amed Rosario's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.04 ft/sec last year to 27.34 ft/sec currently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme groundball bats like Nathaniel Lowe tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dietrich Enns.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP ability. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like James Wood are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dietrich Enns.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Dietrich Enns throws from, Brady House will have an advantage today. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Spencer Torkelson tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jake Irvin.

Alex Call is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Alex Call will have the handedness advantage against Dietrich Enns today. Alex Call has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.

The 7th-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Zach McKinstry will have an advantage today. Zach McKinstry's launch angle lately (23.8° over the last two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 14.5° seasonal figure. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 44.5% to 53.5%.

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Dillon Dingler ranks in the 79th percentile with a 17.1° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the majors. Grading out in the 85th percentile, Dillon Dingler has put up a .335 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 85th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Dietrich Enns throws from, Jacob Young will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Jacob Young has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Jacob Young are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Dietrich Enns.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Paul DeJong will hold the platoon advantage over Dietrich Enns in today's game. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Dietrich Enns throws from, Riley Adams will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Riley Adams has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among every team on the slate today, the 11th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers. Riley Adams will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Javier Baez has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 101.1-mph average over the last week to his seasonal mark of 91.9-mph. Javier Baez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 35% to 40%. Ranking in the 88th percentile, Javier Baez sports a .341 BABIP this year.