Detroit @ Washington picks
Nationals Park
DET vs WAS Picks
MLB Picks
Outs Recorded


Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Irvin has thrown fewer than six innings in five of his past six starts while posting a miserable 7.63 ERA and 1.76 WHIP. A date with the Detroit lineup doesn’t jump out as a slump-busting matchup, either. The Tigers sport a ninth-ranked ISO and 10th-ranked OPS against righties, after all.
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like James Wood are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dietrich Enns.
Total RBIs

Paul DeJong o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Paul DeJong will hold the platoon advantage over Dietrich Enns in today's game.. Paul DeJong pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among every team on the slate today, the 12th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Wenceel Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 62% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Wenceel Perez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Jake Irvin.. Wenceel Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36.9% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.. Wenceel Perez's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 14.1% to 23.8%.
Total RBIs

Alex Call o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Alex Call is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Alex Call will have the handedness advantage against Dietrich Enns today.. Alex Call has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among every team on the slate today, the 12th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
Total RBIs

CJ Abrams o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Among every team on the slate today, the 12th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
Total RBIs

Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Nationals Park has the 8th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Dietrich Enns throws from, Brady House will have an advantage today.. Among every team on the slate today, the 12th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
Total Bases

James Wood o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like James Wood are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dietrich Enns.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 2.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best batter in Major League Baseball when assessing his BABIP ability.. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like James Wood are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dietrich Enns.
Total Bases

CJ Abrams o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 78th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. CJ Abrams is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. CJ Abrams pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Among every team on the slate today, the 12th-weakest infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
Total Bases

Spencer Torkelson o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 91st percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Spencer Torkelson tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Jake Irvin.