Detroit @ Washington picks
Nationals Park
DET vs WAS Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball bats like James Wood tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Flaherty.
Total RBIs

Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Riley Greene may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.. Riley Greene has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Riley Greene's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 17.9% to 22.5%.
Total RBIs

Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Gleyber Torres is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that MacKenzie Gore throws from, Gleyber Torres will have the upper hand in today's game.. Gleyber Torres has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. In the last 7 days, Gleyber Torres's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.6% up to 20%.
Total RBIs

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run ability, Spencer Torkelson ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Spencer Torkelson is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Spencer Torkelson will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.. Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Spencer Torkelson has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 6.8% rate last season to 14.1% this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Jack Flaherty throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Extreme groundball bats like James Wood tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Flaherty.
Total Bases

Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Riley Greene may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.. Riley Greene has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Riley Greene's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 17.9% to 22.5%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Riley Greene o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his BABIP skill, Riley Greene is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Riley Greene may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.. Riley Greene has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.. Riley Greene's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 17.9% to 22.5%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Zach McKinstry o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-185)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Nationals Park.. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Zach McKinstry can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Zach McKinstry has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 23.8° angle in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 44.5% to 53.5%.. Posting a .277 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) this year , Zach McKinstry has performed in the 82nd percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jahmai Jones o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Jahmai Jones is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. The 10th-shallowest LF fences in MLB are found in Nationals Park.. Jahmai Jones will have the handedness advantage over MacKenzie Gore today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Paul DeJong o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Paul DeJong pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Among every team today, the weakest infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Paul DeJong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Paul DeJong's launch angle this year (23.5°) is significantly higher than his 20° figure last year.. In terms of power, Paul DeJong finds himself in the 83rd percentile, having paced 25.5 home runs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.