Kansas City @ Seattle Picks & Props

KC vs SEA Picks

MLB Picks
Hits Allowed
Michael Lorenzen logo Michael Lorenzen o5.5 Hits Allowed (+105)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Andrew Caley image
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

The Mariners are coming off a red-hot June where they ranked second in batting average, seventh in OPS, and third in wRC+. Lorenzen is little more than an innings-eater at this point. He ranks in the 32nd percentile in xERA and the 28th in xBA and has allowed six or more hits in eight of his last 14 starts.

Total RBIs
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 9th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.. Julio Rodriguez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 94.8-mph over the past week.
Total RBIs
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers.. Jac Caglianone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock today.. Jac Caglianone may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.. Hitters such as Jac Caglianone with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Emerson Hancock who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 10th-worst out of every team today.
Total Bases
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Dominic Canzone is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game.. Dominic Canzone has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output.
Total Bases
Julio Rodriguez logo
Julio Rodriguez o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 9th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.. Julio Rodriguez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 94.8-mph over the past week.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Cole Young logo
Cole Young o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Cole Young will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today.. Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today's game.. Cole Young has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 89.9-mph.. Despite posting a .245 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cole Young has had some very poor luck given the .054 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.
Total Bases
Jac Caglianone logo
Jac Caglianone u1.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 0.9 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Jac Caglianone is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.
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KC vs SEA Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

64% picking Seattle

36%
64%

Total PicksKC 287, SEA 516

Moneyline
KC
SEA

KC vs SEA Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Bobby Witt Jr.
B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The #1 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Emerson Hancock will hold the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game.

Bobby Witt Jr. logo

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #1 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Emerson Hancock will hold the platoon advantage against Bobby Witt Jr. in today's game.

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Julio Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
center outfield CF • Seattle
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The #1 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Batting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Julio Rodriguez has a tough challenge in today's matchup.

Julio Rodriguez logo

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #1 park in Major League Baseball for suppressing batting average to RHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Batting from the same side that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Julio Rodriguez has a tough challenge in today's matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Vinnie Pasquantino
V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand in today's game. Vinnie Pasquantino will probably have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today.

Vinnie Pasquantino logo

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order today. Hitting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Vinnie Pasquantino will have the upper hand in today's game. Vinnie Pasquantino will probably have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Vinnie Pasquantino pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today.

Jac Caglianone Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Jac Caglianone
J. Caglianone
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. Jac Caglianone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock today. Jac Caglianone may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Hitters such as Jac Caglianone with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Emerson Hancock who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today.

Jac Caglianone logo

Jac Caglianone

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. Jac Caglianone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock today. Jac Caglianone may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Hitters such as Jac Caglianone with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Emerson Hancock who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Maikel Garcia
M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Maikel Garcia has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today. Maikel Garcia's launch angle this year (9.9°) is quite a bit better than his 6.2° angle last season.

Maikel Garcia logo

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. Maikel Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game. Maikel Garcia has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today. Maikel Garcia's launch angle this year (9.9°) is quite a bit better than his 6.2° angle last season.

Ben Williamson Total Hits Props • Seattle

Ben Williamson
B. Williamson
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Benjamin Williamson has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Benjamin Williamson are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Lorenzen. Benjamin Williamson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In notching a .355 BABIP this year, Benjamin Williamson is positioned in the 94th percentile.

Ben Williamson logo

Ben Williamson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Benjamin Williamson has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Benjamin Williamson are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Lorenzen. Benjamin Williamson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. In notching a .355 BABIP this year, Benjamin Williamson is positioned in the 94th percentile.

J.P. Crawford Total Hits Props • Seattle

J.P. Crawford
J. Crawford
shortstop SS • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage today.

J.P. Crawford logo

J.P. Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game. J.P. Crawford will have the handedness advantage over Michael Lorenzen in today's matchup. J.P. Crawford has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and J.P. Crawford will hold that advantage today.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Drew Waters
D. Waters
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. The switch-hitting Drew Waters will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Emerson Hancock. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today. In notching a .342 BABIP this year, Drew Waters finds himself in the 90th percentile.

Drew Waters logo

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. The switch-hitting Drew Waters will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Emerson Hancock. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today. In notching a .342 BABIP this year, Drew Waters finds himself in the 90th percentile.

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Jonathan India
J. India
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today. Jonathan India's launch angle this year (17.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.3° angle last year.

Jonathan India logo

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Jonathan India ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today. Jonathan India's launch angle this year (17.1°) is quite a bit higher than his 13.3° angle last year.

Nick Loftin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Nick Loftin
N. Loftin
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today. Nick Loftin has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season's 83.6-mph average. Nick Loftin's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 34.9% to 46.7%. Nick Loftin has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 27.72 ft/sec to 28.26 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Nick Loftin logo

Nick Loftin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today. Nick Loftin has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last season's 83.6-mph average. Nick Loftin's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 34.9% to 46.7%. Nick Loftin has gotten much quicker this season, improving from last year's 27.72 ft/sec to 28.26 ft/sec now (according to Statcast's Sprint Speed metric).

Cole Young Total Hits Props • Seattle

Cole Young
C. Young
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Cole Young will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today's game. Cole Young has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 89.9-mph. Despite posting a .245 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cole Young has had some very poor luck given the .054 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

Cole Young logo

Cole Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Cole Young will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today. Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today's game. Cole Young has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 89.9-mph. Despite posting a .245 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cole Young has had some very poor luck given the .054 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Kyle Isbel
K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Batting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an advantage today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Kyle Isbel pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today. Kyle Isbel has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph to 90.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Kyle Isbel logo

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Batting from the opposite that Emerson Hancock throws from, Kyle Isbel will have an advantage today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Isbel has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Kyle Isbel pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today. Kyle Isbel has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.2-mph to 90.6-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.

Dominic Canzone Total Hits Props • Seattle

Dominic Canzone
D. Canzone
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage today. Dominic Canzone has made notable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.1% rate last season to 16.3% this season. Dominic Canzone has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last season's 89.9-mph figure.

Dominic Canzone logo

Dominic Canzone

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Lorenzen throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an edge in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage today. Dominic Canzone has made notable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 11.1% rate last season to 16.3% this season. Dominic Canzone has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.4-mph average to last season's 89.9-mph figure.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Seattle

Randy Arozarena
R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Randy Arozarena's maximum exit velocity (a strong proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 112.2-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.

Randy Arozarena logo

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.8% — 79th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences today. Randy Arozarena will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last 14 days, Randy Arozarena's maximum exit velocity (a strong proxy for recent form and raw power) has been 112.2-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in the game.

John Rave Total Hits Props • Kansas City

John Rave
J. Rave
right outfield RF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. John Rave will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so John Rave has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today. Ranking in the 98th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.86 ft/sec this year, John Rave is very toolsy.

John Rave logo

John Rave

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. John Rave will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so John Rave has a strong chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today. Ranking in the 98th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.86 ft/sec this year, John Rave is very toolsy.

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Seattle

Donovan Solano
D. Solano
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Donovan Solano's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. Donovan Solano will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Donovan Solano has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 88-mph EV. Donovan Solano has put up a .341 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 95th percentile.

Donovan Solano logo

Donovan Solano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Donovan Solano's BABIP ability is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. Donovan Solano will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Donovan Solano has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal 88-mph EV. Donovan Solano has put up a .341 BABIP since the start of last season, grading out in the 95th percentile.

Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle

Cal Raleigh
C. Raleigh
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.5-mph average to last year's 94.9-mph EV.

Cal Raleigh logo

Cal Raleigh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 96th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Cal Raleigh pulls many of his flyballs (42.7% — 100th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Cal Raleigh will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Cal Raleigh has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.5-mph average to last year's 94.9-mph EV.

Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Seattle

Luke Raley
L. Raley
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's game. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Luke Raley's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph lately.

Luke Raley logo

Luke Raley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 87th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen in today's game. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Over the last 7 days, Luke Raley's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 102.1-mph lately.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Salvador Perez
S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Salvador Perez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today. Salvador Perez's launch angle lately (29.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 19.2° seasonal mark. Last year, Salvador Perez had an average launch angle of 14.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.7°.

Salvador Perez logo

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Salvador Perez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Salvador Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 16th-worst out of every team today. Salvador Perez's launch angle lately (29.4° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is significantly higher than his 19.2° seasonal mark. Last year, Salvador Perez had an average launch angle of 14.7° on his hardest-hit balls, while this season it has significantly increased to 17.7°.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Seattle

Jorge Polanco
J. Polanco
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Jorge Polanco is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jorge Polanco will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Jorge Polanco has been unlucky this year. His .248 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .275.

Jorge Polanco logo

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Jorge Polanco is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Jorge Polanco pulls many of his flyballs (38.5% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jorge Polanco will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his batting average, Jorge Polanco has been unlucky this year. His .248 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .275.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Kansas City Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 DaBoss80 6-4-0 +21380
2 CHEOAPONTE 4-6-0 +19625
3 Sandsaver727 5-5-0 +15915
4 DavePaliwoda 6-4-0 +13570
5 Mava5 7-3-0 +13310
6 jerrygora 3-7-0 +12980
7 Brayy_Wyatt 7-3-0 +12595
8 Yellafella59 7-3-0 +12435
9 stakay125 5-5-0 +12285
10 Mexicali72 3-7-0 +12020
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Seattle Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 PaPe454 6-4-0 +19444
2 dotlife162 9-1-0 +19315
3 Roundrobinking 6-4-0 +17515
4 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +15505
5 KingScorpio 3-7-0 +15095
6 regger22 6-4-0 +13250
7 jr5601 4-5-1 +12525
8 adon131 5-5-0 +12520
9 CJONES1068 7-3-0 +11975
10 fragma8023 6-4-0 +11743
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