Kansas City @ Seattle picks

The Mariners are coming off a red-hot June where they ranked second in batting average, seventh in OPS, and third in wRC+. Lorenzen is little more than an innings-eater at this point. He ranks in the 32nd percentile in xERA and the 28th in xBA and has allowed six or more hits in eight of his last 14 starts.

When assessing his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 9th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.. Julio Rodriguez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 94.8-mph over the past week.

T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers.. Jac Caglianone will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Emerson Hancock today.. Jac Caglianone may have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP.. Hitters such as Jac Caglianone with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Emerson Hancock who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 9th-worst out of every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 16th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Dominic Canzone is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game.. Dominic Canzone has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 20% of the time when starting against a right-handed pitcher this year.. The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output.

When assessing his batting average talent, Julio Rodriguez is projected as the 9th-best batter in the majors by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the smallest outfield in the majors — generally good for homers.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.. Julio Rodriguez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 94.8-mph over the past week.

Cole Young will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Lorenzen today.. Cole Young pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Cole Young will hold that advantage in today's game.. Cole Young has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 93.4-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal EV of 89.9-mph.. Despite posting a .245 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Cole Young has had some very poor luck given the .054 deviation between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .299.

Jac Caglianone is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game.. The #1 ballpark in the majors for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is T-Mobile Park.. T-Mobile Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. According to the weather forecast, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 2nd-best for pitching of the day.. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for mound aces.