Houston @ Colorado Picks & Props

Batting from the same side that Chase Dollander throws from, Jose Altuve will be in a tough position in today's game. Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jose Altuve in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Jose Altuve's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%. Jose Altuve's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off from last year to this one, falling from 45.8% to 39.9%. In terms of his batting average, Jose Altuve has experienced some positive variance this year. His .260 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .225.

Chase Dollander will have the handedness advantage over Jake Meyers today. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jake Meyers in today's game. Over the past two weeks, Jake Meyers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%. In the past 14 days, Jake Meyers's 4.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.4%. Jake Meyers has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to his batting average this year; his .306 figure is quite a bit higher than his .285 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Hitting from the same side that Chase Dollander throws from, Isaac Paredes will have a tough matchup in today's game. Extreme groundball hitters like Isaac Paredes tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Chase Dollander. Playing on the road generally reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Isaac Paredes in today's matchup. Isaac Paredes's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 90.6-mph seasonal mark has dropped off to 80.8-mph in the last week's worth of games.

The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams today. Despite posting a .336 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Beck has been lucky given the .032 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .304. Jordan Beck has shown bad plate discipline this year, grading out in the 17th percentile with a 4.19 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 87th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Hitting from the opposite that Colton Gordon throws from, Ryan Ritter will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Victor Caratini in the 14th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Victor Caratini today. Victor Caratini's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 92.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 87.7-mph in the last week's worth of games. Grading out in the 20th percentile, Victor Caratini sits with a .265 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 17th-weakest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. In the past 7 days, Christian Walker's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.7-mph over the course of the season to 95.7-mph in recent games.

Yainer Diaz is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game. Chase Dollander will have the handedness advantage over Yainer Diaz in today's game. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yainer Diaz today. In the past 14 days, Yainer Diaz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.4% down to 2.2%. Yainer Diaz has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 90.5-mph dropping to 87.2-mph in the past 14 days.

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game. Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. The switch-hitting Michael Toglia will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Colton Gordon. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Orlando Arcia will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Colton Gordon today. Extreme groundball bats like Orlando Arcia tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Colton Gordon.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Braxton Fulford has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.8-mph average over the past 7 days to his seasonal 88.3-mph mark. Braxton Fulford's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, increasing from 42.1% on the season to 60% over the last week.

20% of the time that Tyler Freeman has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been replaced by a pinch-hitter. The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams today. Tyler Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off recently; his 90.1-mph seasonal EV has dropped off to 84.2-mph over the last week. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Tyler Freeman's true offensive skill to be a .330, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .039 deviation between that mark and his actual .369 wOBA. Tyler Freeman has put up a .244 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 5th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Hitting from the opposite that Colton Gordon throws from, Kyle Farmer will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Kyle Farmer will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 17th-weakest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. Cooper Hummel has been hot recently, posting a a 21.4% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) over the past 14 days.

The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams today. Brenton Doyle's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off in recent games; his 93.4-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.1-mph over the past week. Brenton Doyle has put up a .230 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 1st percentile. By putting up a .221 BABIP this year, Brenton Doyle is positioned in the 1st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thairo Estrada in the 25th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams today. Thairo Estrada's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 90.9-mph average last season has dropped to 88.8-mph. In the past week, Thairo Estrada's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 88.9 mph to 86.7 mph. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.262) implies that Thairo Estrada has been lucky this year with his .311 actual wOBA.

The Houston Astros infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among all the teams today. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.288) implies that Hunter Goodman has been lucky this year with his .361 actual wOBA. In terms of plate discipline, Hunter Goodman's ability is quite weak, sporting a 5.13 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 10th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mauricio Dubon in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in the game for right-handed batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest altitude among all parks. High elevation often leads to better offense. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather forecast projects the hottest temperature of all games on the slate today at 87°. Out of all the teams playing today, the 17th-weakest infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies.