Detroit @ Washington picks

Wenceel Perez is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his strong side against a pitcher with a large platoon split (Trevor Williams) today.. Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Wenceel Perez has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 4.4% rate last season to 13.8% this year.. Compared to last year, Wenceel Perez has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 14.1% to 23.8% this season.

Homers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Nationals Park has the 10th-shallowest among all parks.. In the last 7 days, Kerry Carpenter's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.7% up to 25%.. Kerry Carpenter's launch angle this year (21.1°) is significantly better than his 17.3° figure last season.. Compared to his seasonal average of 20.9°, Kerry Carpenter has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 27.7° figure in the past two weeks.. Kerry Carpenter has performed at a clip of 31.5 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, ranking in the 95th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park.. Zach McKinstry will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams in today's game... and moreover, Williams has a large platoon split.. Zach McKinstry will probably have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP.. Zach McKinstry's launch angle in recent games (23.8° over the past 14 days) is significantly better than his 14.5° seasonal mark.. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 44.5% to 53.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst field in the league for boosting offensive stats to righties.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest elevations in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to lower offensive output.. Trevor Williams will have the handedness advantage against Spencer Torkelson today... and it's an even larger mismatch considering Williams's large platoon split.. Typically, bats like Spencer Torkelson who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Trevor Williams.. Spencer Torkelson will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Riley Greene as the 4th-best batter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Riley Greene is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Riley Greene will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Riley Greene has a good chance to have an advantage against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP.. Riley Greene has strong power (91st percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (27.2% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Trevor Williams is a pitch-to-contact type (22nd percentile K%) — great news for Greene.

In the majors, Nationals Park's LF fences are the 10th-shallowest.. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Dillon Dingler ranks in the 79th percentile with a 17.1° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the game.. Dillon Dingler has compiled a .337 BABIP this year, grading out in the 88th percentile.

The 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park.. Daylen Lile may have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Detroit Tigers only has 1 same-handed RP.. Among every team on the slate today, the worst infield defense is that of the Detroit Tigers.. Daylen Lile will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Daylen Lile has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 93.6-mph in the last 7 days.