Baltimore @ Texas picks
Globe Life Field
BAL vs TEX Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
Holliday faced off against Patrick Corbin exactly one week ago. The O's shortstop crushed the Rangers' lefty, going 3-for-5 with a double and a home run. Holliday is also starting to get into a groove, hitting .300 with a .839 OPS over his last nine games.
Total RBIs

Adolis Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Adolis Garcia will have an edge today.. Adolis Garcia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Ramon Laureano o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run skill, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Ramon Laureano will have an advantage in today's game.. In the past 7 days, Ramon Laureano's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 107.2-mph recently.
Total RBIs

Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent.. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Gunnar Henderson has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 99.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.9-mph figure.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson's true offensive talent to be a .362, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .024 disparity between that mark and his actual .338 wOBA.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Higashioka o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Kyle Higashioka will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Hitters such as Kyle Higashioka with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Trevor Rogers who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's game.. Kyle Higashioka has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.3-mph average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Justin Foscue o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Justin Foscue will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Rogers today.. Justin Foscue will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total Bases

Marcus Semien o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Marcus Semien ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Marcus Semien will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Marcus Semien tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Trevor Rogers.
Total Bases

Jackson Holliday o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Jackson Holliday has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Jackson Holliday has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.4-mph mark.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Colton Cowser o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest average fence height in Major League Baseball.. Colton Cowser's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 13.4% on the season to 23.1% in the past 14 days.. Colton Cowser has put up a .333 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 79th percentile.. By putting up a .319 Isolated Power (ISO) since the start of last season, Colton Cowser is ranked in the 88th percentile.