Baltimore @ Texas Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Ryan O'Hearn has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.9-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 90.9-mph figure. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 40.8% to 48%. Using Statcast data, Ryan O'Hearn grades out in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average this year at .285.

Colton Cowser's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Colton Cowser's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better of late, increasing from 13.4% on the season to 23.1% in the past 14 days. Colton Cowser has put up a .333 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 79th percentile. Colton Cowser has compiled a .311 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 75th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Adolis Garcia will have an edge today. Adolis Garcia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Adolis Garcia has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 96.1-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 93.3-mph average.

Coby Mayo will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Coby Mayo tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Patrick Corbin. Coby Mayo has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 9.6% seasonal rate to 18.2% over the past week. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Coby Mayo has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .222 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .259.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best batter in baseball. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game. Corey Seager will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Corey Seager has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 95.4-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 93.1-mph EV. Despite posting a .333 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Corey Seager has been unlucky given the .042 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .375.

Gary Sanchez is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Gary Sanchez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Gary Sanchez has made significant improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 12.2% seasonal rate to 21.4% over the past week. Gary Sanchez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last season's 90-mph mark. Gary Sanchez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal 94.5-mph figure.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Ramon Laureano will have an advantage in today's game. In the past 7 days, Ramon Laureano's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.1-mph over the course of the season to 107.2-mph recently. Ramon Laureano and his 18.2° launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls rank in 93rd percentile, among the highest in the majors this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gunnar Henderson in the 97th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today. Gunnar Henderson has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 99.5-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal 92.9-mph figure. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson's true offensive talent to be a .362, implying that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .024 disparity between that mark and his actual .338 wOBA. In notching a .359 BABIP this year, Gunnar Henderson is ranked in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Jackson Holliday is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Jackson Holliday has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, improving his 11.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Jackson Holliday has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.7-mph average in the past two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 90.4-mph mark. In the last week, Jackson Holliday's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.7%.

Extreme groundball bats like Cedric Mullins are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Patrick Corbin. Cedric Mullins's launch angle this year (24.8°) is a significant increase over his 21.5° figure last year. In the past 14 days, Cedric Mullins's 25.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 18.7%.

Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Kyle Higashioka will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Hitters such as Kyle Higashioka with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Trevor Rogers who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's game. Kyle Higashioka has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 93.1-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 90.3-mph average. In the last week, Kyle Higashioka's 42.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.8%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Haggerty in the 81st percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Sam Haggerty is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Sam Haggerty will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Trevor Rogers in this game. Sam Haggerty will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Sam Haggerty has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 101.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 91.5-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Josh Jung will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Rogers today. Josh Jung will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats. Compared to last season, Josh Jung has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44.3% to 49.6% this season. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Josh Jung has had bad variance on his side this year. His .289 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .316.

Justin Foscue will have the handedness advantage against Trevor Rogers today. Justin Foscue will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Marcus Semien ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Marcus Semien will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Marcus Semien tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Trevor Rogers. Marcus Semien will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Ramon Urias is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Ramon Urias will have an edge today. Compared to his seasonal average of 12°, Ramon Urias has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 24° angle over the last 7 days. Ramon Urias's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 38.1% to 45%.

Batting from the opposite that Trevor Rogers throws from, Ezequiel Duran will have the upper hand in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Ezequiel Duran will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Jonah Heim has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (86% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Jonah Heim will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Trevor Rogers in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved of late, increasing from 16% on the season to 23.1% over the past 7 days. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 38.4% to 43.6%.