St. Louis @ Pittsburgh picks
PNC Park
STL vs PIT Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor
Erick Fedde vs. Andrew Heaney. I know the Pirates offense is sketchy, but Fedde is a ticking time bomb. His 4.14 ERA is already middling, but he's among the worst pitchers in terms of expected ERA, expected batting average, chase and whiff rates, and all hard contact metrics. Heaney's Baseball Savant page is similarly blue, and I like a lot of runs as a result.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Oneil Cruz has not had a good month, but he appears to be coming out of his slump. He's recorded nine total bases over the last two games, headlined by a multi-home run performance against the New York Mets.
Total RBIs

Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Batters such as Oneil Cruz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Erick Fedde who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Erick Fedde.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 15th-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.
Total RBIs

Andrew McCutchen o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive skill, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 15th-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.
Total RBIs

Spencer Horwitz o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage today.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 15th-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.
Total RBIs

Pedro Pages o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Pedro Pages will hold the platoon advantage against Andrew Heaney in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Batters such as Oneil Cruz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Erick Fedde who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total Bases

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Hitting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Batters such as Oneil Cruz with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Erick Fedde who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Spencer Horwitz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage today.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 15th-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.
Total Bases

Spencer Horwitz o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all stadiums. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. Batting from the opposite that Erick Fedde throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have an advantage today.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 15th-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this matchup will be the 3rd-most suitable for hitting of all games on the slate.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Erick Fedde.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 15th-worst infield defense is that of the the St. Louis Cardinals.