San Diego @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for RHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Gavin Sheets pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Gavin Sheets has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.8-mph average to last season's 90.8-mph mark. In the last 7 days, Gavin Sheets's 20% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 13.5%.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jake Cronenworth has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jake Cronenworth has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 7.1% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the last week.

Batting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, Luis Arraez has a tough challenge today. Playing on the road typically diminishes batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Luis Arraez in today's game. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 87.9-mph figure last year has fallen to 85.3-mph. In the last 14 days, Luis Arraez has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability. Using Statcast data, Luis Arraez is in the 24th percentile for offensive ability per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .298.

Manny Machado will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Manny Machado's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 94.7-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 87.2-mph over the past week. Manny Machado's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined of late, decreasing from 14.9% on the season to 7.5% in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for RHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Elias Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Lodolo today. Elias Diaz has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 98.2-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal EV of 91-mph.

Typically, hitters like Elly De La Cruz who hit a lot of flyballs usually hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Stephen Kolek. In the last two weeks, Elly De La Cruz's 33.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 41.9%. Elly De La Cruz has been very fortunate when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .366 rate is a fair amount higher than his .328 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Batting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, Jackson Merrill faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Jackson Merrill will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game.

The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Will Benson will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Stephen Kolek today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Will Benson will hold that advantage in today's game.

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for RHB batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Austin Hays pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for RHB batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 94th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for RHB batting average. Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest LF fences in the majors. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for RHB batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Tyler Stephenson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for RHB batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Christian Encarnacion-Strand will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. TJ Friedl will have the handedness advantage against Stephen Kolek today. TJ Friedl pulls many of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 86th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Gavin Lux is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The 8th-shallowest right field dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Jose Iglesias's batting average skill is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for RHB batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Iglesias will have the handedness advantage over Nick Lodolo in today's game. Jose Iglesias has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for RHB batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage today. Spencer Steer's launch angle in recent games (23.7° in the past 7 days) is a considerable increase over his 16.6° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 5th-best stadium in MLB for RHB batting average. The weather forecast calls for the 5th-most favorable hitting weather of all games today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jose Trevino pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Trevino will hold that advantage in today's game. Placing in the 82nd percentile, Jose Trevino has notched a .281 batting average this year.