New York @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Henry Davis will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.295) provides evidence that Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck this year with his .252 actual wOBA. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Henry Davis ranks in the 97th percentile with a 22.9° launch angle, which is among the most flyball-inducing angles in baseball.

Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 11th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Nimmo today. Over the past 14 days, Brandon Nimmo's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 10.8% down to 5.6%. In the last week's worth of games, Brandon Nimmo's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal figure of 93.9 mph to 89.7 mph. Brandon Nimmo's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (4° in the past two weeks) is significantly lower than his 9.8° seasonal mark.

PNC Park has the 7th-deepest fences among all major league stadiums — generally bad for homers. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Michael Burrows Playing on the road typically lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Francisco Lindor in today's matchup. Francisco Lindor's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (14.2°) is quite a bit worse than his 18.8° angle last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 79th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Joey Bart will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Joey Bart's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 43.1% to 50.8%.

PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Tommy Pham will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Tommy Pham has made notable strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 3.4% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the last week. Tommy Pham has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.7-mph to 95-mph in the past two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for lefty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand today. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Torrens in the 75th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Luis Torrens has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .271 rate is significantly deflated relative to his .357 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Bryan Reynolds is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for lefty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his strong side (0) today against Frankie Montas.

Ke'Bryan Hayes is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage in today's game. Ke'Bryan Hayes's launch angle this year (9°) is a significant increase over his 4.7° mark last year.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for lefty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Spencer Horwitz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Frankie Montas in today's game. Spencer Horwitz will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Juan Soto projects as the 3rd-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for lefty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Juan Soto will hold the platoon advantage against Michael Burrows in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 84th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for lefty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. The switch-hitting Ronny Mauricio will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Michael Burrows. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Ronny Mauricio has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.6-mph to 91.6-mph in the past week.

Adam Frazier has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (85% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for lefty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Frankie Montas throws from, Adam Frazier will have an advantage in today's game. Adam Frazier will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Jared Triolo will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. Jared Triolo has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 7.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the past two weeks.

PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mark Vientos's true offensive ability to be a .315, providing some evidence that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .024 disparity between that mark and his actual .291 wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for lefty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Michael Burrows throws from, Brett Baty will have an edge in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Brett Baty usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Burrows. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

Pete Alonso projects as the 15th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Pete Alonso is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. PNC Park projects as the #4 stadium in the majors for righty base hits, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. In notching a .325 BABIP this year, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has performed in the 77th percentile.

Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles PNC Park as the 4th-best venue in MLB for lefty BABIP. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest elevation in Major League Baseball. High elevation often leads to better offense. Jeff McNeil will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Michael Burrows in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.