Seattle @ Texas picks

Kumar Rocker was highly coveted out of Vanderbilt, and he’s finally arrived in the big leagues. The right-hander hasn’t exactly thrived in 2025, though, going 3-4 in eight starts with a 6.68 ERA. Opponents are hitting .319 off the hard-throwing youngster. But the main focus for me here is Rocker’s statistics at Globe Life Field. In three starts in Arlington this season, he owns a 2.12 ERA, posting a 2-0 record in the process. Rocker has given up just four earned runs in 17 frames at home. The Seattle Mariners are hitting .250 across 20 at-bats against Rocker with eight strikeouts. He’s trending in the right direction, and I expect him to keep Seattle’s offense in check today.

When assessing his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage today.. Adolis Garcia has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 93.3-mph mark.

Corey Seager projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo today... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the past 7 days, Kyle Higashioka's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.2%.. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Higashioka has had bad variance on his side this year. His .262 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287.. In notching a 25.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Kyle Higashioka is positioned in the 83rd percentile for power.

Corey Seager projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo today... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.