Seattle @ Texas Picks & Props

SEA vs TEX Picks

MLB Picks
Earned Runs Allowed
Kumar Rocker logo Kumar Rocker u2.5 Earned Runs Allowed (-150)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
Quinn Allen image
Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst

Kumar Rocker was highly coveted out of Vanderbilt, and he’s finally arrived in the big leagues. The right-hander hasn’t exactly thrived in 2025, though, going 3-4 in eight starts with a 6.68 ERA. Opponents are hitting .319 off the hard-throwing youngster. But the main focus for me here is Rocker’s statistics at Globe Life Field. In three starts in Arlington this season, he owns a 2.12 ERA, posting a 2-0 record in the process. Rocker has given up just four earned runs in 17 frames at home. The Seattle Mariners are hitting .250 across 20 at-bats against Rocker with eight strikeouts. He’s trending in the right direction, and I expect him to keep Seattle’s offense in check today.

Total RBIs
Randy Arozarena logo
Randy Arozarena o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. In the last 7 days, Randy Arozarena's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 95.8 mph to 93.7 mph.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.1) may lead us to conclude that Randy Arozarena has had bad variance on his side this year with his 13.9 actual HR/600.
Total RBIs
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo today... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Total RBIs
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When assessing his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage today.. Adolis Garcia has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 93.3-mph mark.
Total Bases
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo today... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Total Bases
Luke Raley logo
Luke Raley u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When starting against a northpaw this year, Luke Raley has been pulled from the game early 28% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Luke Raley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.
Total Bases
Dominic Canzone logo
Dominic Canzone u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Dominic Canzone is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.. 18% of the time that Dominic Canzone has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. In Major League Baseball, Globe Life Field's centerfield dimensions are the 7th-deepest.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Kyle Higashioka logo
Kyle Higashioka o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-135)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the past 7 days, Kyle Higashioka's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.2%.. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Higashioka has had bad variance on his side this year. His .262 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287.. In notching a 25.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Kyle Higashioka is positioned in the 83rd percentile for power.
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SEA vs TEX Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

70% picking Seattle

70%
30%

Total PicksSEA 403, TEX 171

Moneyline
SEA
TEX
Moneyline

SEA vs TEX Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Julio Rodriguez Total Hits Props • Seattle

Julio Rodriguez
J. Rodriguez
center outfield CF • Seattle
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst stadium in MLB for RHB batting average. In Major League Baseball, Globe Life Field's centerfield dimensions are the 7th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Kumar Rocker will have the handedness advantage over Julio Rodriguez in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.

Julio Rodriguez logo

Julio Rodriguez

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst stadium in MLB for RHB batting average. In Major League Baseball, Globe Life Field's centerfield dimensions are the 7th-deepest. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching. Kumar Rocker will have the handedness advantage over Julio Rodriguez in today's game. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.

Cole Young Total Hits Props • Seattle

Cole Young
C. Young
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Cole Young will have an edge today.

Cole Young logo

Cole Young

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Cole Young will have an edge today.

Evan Carter Total Hits Props • Texas

Evan Carter
E. Carter
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Evan Carter will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Evan Carter is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Evan Carter will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Evan Carter's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 16.7% to 22.5%.

Evan Carter logo

Evan Carter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 81st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Evan Carter will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Evan Carter is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP. Evan Carter will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. Evan Carter's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 16.7% to 22.5%.

Randy Arozarena Total Hits Props • Seattle

Randy Arozarena
R. Arozarena
left outfield LF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. In the last 7 days, Randy Arozarena's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 95.8 mph to 93.7 mph. Randy Arozarena has recorded a .327 BABIP this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

Randy Arozarena logo

Randy Arozarena

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. In the last 7 days, Randy Arozarena's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 95.8 mph to 93.7 mph. Randy Arozarena has recorded a .327 BABIP this year, ranking in the 78th percentile.

Donovan Solano Total Hits Props • Seattle

Donovan Solano
D. Solano
first base 1B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Donovan Solano has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.1-mph average. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 47.9% on the season to 57.1% over the past 14 days. With a .343 BABIP since the start of last season, Donovan Solano has performed in the 96th percentile.

Donovan Solano logo

Donovan Solano

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Donovan Solano has seen a big increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 93.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 88.1-mph average. Donovan Solano's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased recently, rising from 47.9% on the season to 57.1% over the past 14 days. With a .343 BABIP since the start of last season, Donovan Solano has performed in the 96th percentile.

Sam Haggerty Total Hits Props • Texas

Sam Haggerty
S. Haggerty
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Haggerty in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Sam Haggerty is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Sam Haggerty will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Sam Haggerty's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 22% on the season to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

Sam Haggerty logo

Sam Haggerty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Haggerty in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Sam Haggerty is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Sam Haggerty will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Sam Haggerty's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased recently, increasing from 22% on the season to 33.3% in the past 7 days.

Cal Raleigh Total Hits Props • Seattle

Cal Raleigh
C. Raleigh
catcher C • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Extreme flyball hitters like Cal Raleigh usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kumar Rocker. Cal Raleigh has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.7-mph average to last year's 94.9-mph average. Cal Raleigh's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 17.6% to 21.2%.

Cal Raleigh logo

Cal Raleigh

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Cal Raleigh is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Extreme flyball hitters like Cal Raleigh usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Kumar Rocker. Cal Raleigh has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.7-mph average to last year's 94.9-mph average. Cal Raleigh's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last year to this one, increasing from 17.6% to 21.2%.

Dominic Canzone Total Hits Props • Seattle

Dominic Canzone
D. Canzone
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand today. Dominic Canzone has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.3-mph average to last season's 89.9-mph EV. When it comes to his batting average, Dominic Canzone has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .215 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .240.

Dominic Canzone logo

Dominic Canzone

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Dominic Canzone will have the upper hand today. Dominic Canzone has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 92.3-mph average to last season's 89.9-mph EV. When it comes to his batting average, Dominic Canzone has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .215 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .240.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

Jonah Heim
J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Jonah Heim has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage today. Jonah Heim has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 91-mph in the past week. Compared to last year, Jonah Heim has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.1% to 15.3% this season.

Jonah Heim logo

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jonah Heim has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage today. Jonah Heim has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 91-mph in the past week. Compared to last year, Jonah Heim has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.1% to 15.3% this season.

J.P. Crawford Total Hits Props • Seattle

J.P. Crawford
J. Crawford
shortstop SS • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge in today's game. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 16.6% to 20.2%. By putting up a .281 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , J.P. Crawford has performed in the 87th percentile.

J.P. Crawford logo

J.P. Crawford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.P. Crawford in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the lineup in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, J.P. Crawford will have an edge in today's game. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 16.6% to 20.2%. By putting up a .281 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) this year , J.P. Crawford has performed in the 87th percentile.

Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Jung
J. Jung
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Josh Jung has been unlucky this year. His .290 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319. Josh Jung is in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.7% rate this year).

Josh Jung logo

Josh Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Josh Jung has been unlucky this year. His .290 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319. Josh Jung is in the 91st percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (19.7% rate this year).

Kyle Higashioka Total Hits Props • Texas

Kyle Higashioka
K. Higashioka
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Kyle Higashioka's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.2%. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Higashioka has had bad variance on his side this year. His .262 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287.

Kyle Higashioka logo

Kyle Higashioka

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Kyle Higashioka's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.2%. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Higashioka has had bad variance on his side this year. His .262 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287.

Miles Mastrobuoni Total Hits Props • Seattle

Miles Mastrobuoni
M. Mastrobuoni
second base 2B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Miles Mastrobuoni will have an edge today. Miles Mastrobuoni has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .288 figure is a good deal lower than his .327 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. By putting up a 1.76 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Miles Mastrobuoni has demonstrated good plate discipline, grading out in the 87th percentile. Posting a .263 batting average this year, Miles Mastrobuoni finds himself in the 76th percentile.

Miles Mastrobuoni logo

Miles Mastrobuoni

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Hitting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Miles Mastrobuoni will have an edge today. Miles Mastrobuoni has experienced some negative variance in regards to his wOBA this year; his .288 figure is a good deal lower than his .327 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. By putting up a 1.76 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Miles Mastrobuoni has demonstrated good plate discipline, grading out in the 87th percentile. Posting a .263 batting average this year, Miles Mastrobuoni finds himself in the 76th percentile.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

Corey Seager
C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Corey Seager projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo today... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage today.

Corey Seager logo

Corey Seager

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Corey Seager projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo today... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage today.

Josh Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Smith
J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Josh Smith will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Smith stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Josh Smith will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Josh Smith's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 14% on the season to 23.1% in the last week's worth of games.

Josh Smith logo

Josh Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Smith is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. Given Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Josh Smith will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Smith stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Josh Smith will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Josh Smith's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better in recent games, going from 14% on the season to 23.1% in the last week's worth of games.

Luke Raley Total Hits Props • Seattle

Luke Raley
L. Raley
right outfield RF • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Luke Raley is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Luke Raley will have an advantage in today's matchup. Luke Raley's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 39.8% to 47.5%. Over the last two weeks, Luke Raley's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.5%.

Luke Raley logo

Luke Raley

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luke Raley in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Luke Raley is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this game. Batting from the opposite that Kumar Rocker throws from, Luke Raley will have an advantage in today's matchup. Luke Raley's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 39.8% to 47.5%. Over the last two weeks, Luke Raley's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.5%.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

Adolis Garcia
A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage today. Adolis Garcia has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 93.3-mph mark. Despite posting a .287 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adolis Garcia has experienced some negative variance given the .039 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

Adolis Garcia logo

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage today. Adolis Garcia has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 93.3-mph mark. Despite posting a .287 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Adolis Garcia has experienced some negative variance given the .039 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .326.

Alejandro Osuna Total Hits Props • Texas

Alejandro Osuna
A. Osuna
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Alejandro Osuna will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Alejandro Osuna is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Alejandro Osuna will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.58 ft/sec this year, Alejandro Osuna is quite fast.

Alejandro Osuna logo

Alejandro Osuna

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Considering Bryan Woo's large platoon split, Alejandro Osuna will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Alejandro Osuna is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners has just 1 same-handed RP. Alejandro Osuna will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.58 ft/sec this year, Alejandro Osuna is quite fast.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

Marcus Semien
M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Marcus Semien has experienced some negative variance this year. His .287 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .325.

Marcus Semien logo

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup today. Marcus Semien will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Marcus Semien has experienced some negative variance this year. His .287 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .325.

Ben Williamson Total Hits Props • Seattle

Ben Williamson
B. Williamson
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Sporting a .357 BABIP this year, Benjamin Williamson is ranked in the 95th percentile.

Ben Williamson logo

Ben Williamson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Sporting a .357 BABIP this year, Benjamin Williamson is ranked in the 95th percentile.

Jorge Polanco Total Hits Props • Seattle

Jorge Polanco
J. Polanco
third base 3B • Seattle
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Hitters such as Jorge Polanco with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kumar Rocker who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Over the last 7 days, Jorge Polanco's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 15.4%. Over the past week, Jorge Polanco's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 103.9-mph of late. Jorge Polanco's launch angle lately (21.2° in the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 14.6° seasonal angle.

Jorge Polanco logo

Jorge Polanco

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Hitters such as Jorge Polanco with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Kumar Rocker who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Over the last 7 days, Jorge Polanco's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 15.4%. Over the past week, Jorge Polanco's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92.3-mph over the course of the season to 103.9-mph of late. Jorge Polanco's launch angle lately (21.2° in the last 14 days) is significantly higher than his 14.6° seasonal angle.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Rank Leader L10 Units
1 PaPe454 6-4-0 +19444
2 dotlife162 9-1-0 +19315
3 Roundrobinking 6-4-0 +17515
4 mikeg1827 5-5-0 +15505
5 KingScorpio 3-7-0 +15095
6 regger22 6-4-0 +13250
7 jr5601 4-5-1 +12525
8 adon131 5-5-0 +12520
9 CJONES1068 7-3-0 +11975
10 fragma8023 6-4-0 +11743
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Texas Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 KingScorpio 7-3-0 +24325
2 mojonaciosoy 8-2-0 +20585
3 bigosports12 7-3-0 +19655
4 hennryh 7-3-0 +17895
5 Whiteyr 4-6-0 +17780
6 MexicanBettor 5-5-0 +16866
7 cameleon53 6-4-0 +16495
8 DODBUCKSTEEL 5-5-0 +15755
9 chensucht 6-4-0 +15755
10 dude18555 6-4-0 +15415
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