Seattle @ Texas picks

Kumar Rocker was highly coveted out of Vanderbilt, and he’s finally arrived in the big leagues. The right-hander hasn’t exactly thrived in 2025, though, going 3-4 in eight starts with a 6.68 ERA. Opponents are hitting .319 off the hard-throwing youngster. But the main focus for me here is Rocker’s statistics at Globe Life Field. In three starts in Arlington this season, he owns a 2.12 ERA, posting a 2-0 record in the process. Rocker has given up just four earned runs in 17 frames at home. The Seattle Mariners are hitting .250 across 20 at-bats against Rocker with eight strikeouts. He’s trending in the right direction, and I expect him to keep Seattle’s offense in check today.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. In the last 7 days, Randy Arozarena's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off from his seasonal mark of 95.8 mph to 93.7 mph.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (18.1) may lead us to conclude that Randy Arozarena has had bad variance on his side this year with his 13.9 actual HR/600.

Corey Seager projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo today... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

When assessing his home run talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage today.. Adolis Garcia has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal 93.3-mph mark.

Corey Seager projects as the 12th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Corey Seager will have the handedness advantage against Bryan Woo today... and even better, Woo has a large platoon split.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

When starting against a northpaw this year, Luke Raley has been pulled from the game early 28% of the time.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -11° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate — favorable for pitching.. Luke Raley hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards MLB's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's game.. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the Texas Rangers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dominic Canzone in the 15th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Dominic Canzone is penciled in 7th in the lineup today.. 18% of the time that Dominic Canzone has started against a northpaw this year, he has been pulled from the game early.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Globe Life Field as the worst park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. In Major League Baseball, Globe Life Field's centerfield dimensions are the 7th-deepest.

Among all parks, Globe Life Field has the 6th-lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Higashioka will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Over the past 7 days, Kyle Higashioka's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 15.2%.. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Kyle Higashioka has had bad variance on his side this year. His .262 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .287.. In notching a 25.000 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) based on Statcast data) since the start of last season , Kyle Higashioka is positioned in the 83rd percentile for power.