Los Angeles @ Kansas City picks
Kauffman Stadium
LAD vs KC Picks
MLB Picks
Runs

Pick made: 2 months ago

Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Freddie Freeman is hitting .321 on the season against right-handed pitchers. He also possesses a walk rate just below 9%, meaning he’s getting on base in nearly 40% of his at bats. If Freeman can find his way onto the basepaths, there's no shortage of hot batters behind him who excel vs. what Lugo throws most prominently.
Total RBIs

Jac Caglianone o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.. Because of Shohei Ohtani's large platoon split, Jac Caglianone will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup.. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Total RBIs

Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 15th-best hitter in Major League Baseball as it relates to his batting average talent.. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in MLB.. Bobby Witt Jr. is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Max Muncy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game.
Total RBIs

Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run ability, Salvador Perez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Mookie Betts ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Total Bases

Michael Conforto u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Michael Conforto's BABIP talent is projected in the 17th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Michael Conforto is projected to bat 7th in the lineup in this matchup.. When starting against a righty on the mound this year, Michael Conforto has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 21% of the time.. The #1 venue in the majors for suppressing home runs to left-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Kauffman Stadium.. In today's matchup, Michael Conforto is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 34.3% rate (80th percentile).
Outs Recorded

Seth Lugo u17.5 Outs Recorded (-110)
Projection 16.3 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The best projected offense of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall batting ability is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Kauffman Stadium as the best ballpark in MLB for walks.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Max Muncy o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-137)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Max Muncy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for bats.