Los Angeles @ Kansas City Picks & Props

Andy Pages is penciled in 6th in the batting order in today's game. Homers are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and Kauffman Stadium has the 2nd-deepest among all major league parks. Batting from the same side that Seth Lugo throws from, Andy Pages faces a tough challenge in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Andy Pages will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Given Shohei Ohtani's large platoon split, Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a huge disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's deepest RF fences in today's matchup. In the past week, Bobby Witt Jr.'s 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.9%.

Freddie Freeman has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Compared to his seasonal figure of 13.6°, Freddie Freeman has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (5.3°) in the past two weeks' worth of games. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Freddie Freeman has been lucky this year. His .369 figure has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .338.

Seth Lugo will hold the platoon advantage over Mookie Betts today. Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 4th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. In the last week's worth of games, Mookie Betts's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal mark of 90.7 mph to 84.6 mph.

In the league, Kauffman Stadium's right field fences are the deepest. Out of every team on the slate today, the 5th-strongest infield defense belongs to the Kansas City Royals. Playing on the road generally reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Shohei Ohtani in today's matchup. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.382) implies that Shohei Ohtani has had positive variance on his side this year with his .430 actual wOBA.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #10 ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Because of Shohei Ohtani's large platoon split, Kyle Isbel will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Kauffman Stadium projects as the #10 field in MLB for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Nick Loftin will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card today. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #10 field in MLB for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #10 ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Dalton Rushing will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 80th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #10 ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tommy Edman has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .245 figure is quite a bit lower than his .288 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Vinnie Pasquantino is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #10 ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Vinnie Pasquantino will have the handedness advantage over Shohei Ohtani today... and the cherry on top, Ohtani has a large platoon split.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 17th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #10 field in MLB for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #10 ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Drew Waters will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Shohei Ohtani... and even better, Ohtani has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #10 field in MLB for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #10 ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge in today's game. Michael Conforto has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.4-mph to 97.1-mph in the last 7 days.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #10 ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Given Shohei Ohtani's large platoon split, John Rave will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #10 ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Because of Shohei Ohtani's large platoon split, Jac Caglianone will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense is that of the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Max Muncy is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 61% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Kauffman Stadium profiles as the #10 ballpark in the majors for LHB BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Max Muncy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Seth Lugo in today's game.

Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game. Kauffman Stadium projects as the #10 field in MLB for RHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Kauffman Stadium sits at the 4th-highest altitude among all major league stadiums. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitters such as Salvador Perez with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Shohei Ohtani who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.

Hyeseong Kim has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.