St. Louis @ Cleveland Picks & Props

The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Victor Scott II will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Victor Scott II has a 93rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Checking in at the 79th percentile, Victor Scott II sports a .328 BABIP this year.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Typically, hitters like Jose Ramirez who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Miles Mikolas. Over the past 7 days, Jose Ramirez's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.8% down to 0%. In the last two weeks, Jose Ramirez's 6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 18.1%. When it comes to his batting average, Jose Ramirez has had some very good luck this year. His .317 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .281.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Steven Kwan has been lucky this year, compiling a .345 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .308 — a .037 disparity.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 9.2-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for mound aces. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 8th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road typically lowers batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Burleson in today's matchup. Alec Burleson has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .300 figure is inflated compared to his .262 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Bo Naylor will hold the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage today. There has been a significant improvement in Bo Naylor's launch angle from last year's 19.5° to 23.4° this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lars Nootbaar in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Batting from the opposite that Slade Cecconi throws from, Lars Nootbaar will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 82nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Gabriel Arias has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball bats like Gabriel Arias tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Miles Mikolas.

Progressive Field ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Pedro Pages has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences today.

Carlos Santana is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.9% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Carlos Santana will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Masyn Winn is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field fences in the league. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Nolan Gorman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Slade Cecconi in today's matchup. Nolan Gorman pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Nolan Gorman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.7% up to 25%.

Progressive Field ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Nolan Arenado pulls many of his flyballs (42.6% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Posting a 1.46 K/BB rate this year, Nolan Arenado has displayed good plate discipline, placing in the 88th percentile.

Progressive Field ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field has the 3rd-shallowest left field fences in the league. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output.

The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Daniel Schneemann will have the upper hand in today's game. Bats such as Daniel Schneemann with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Miles Mikolas who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Daniel Schneemann will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Nolan Jones will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Nolan Jones has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Lane Thomas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Lane Thomas has made substantial gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 3.8% seasonal rate to 17.6% in the past week's worth of games.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Progressive Field ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.369) implies that Willson Contreras has been unlucky this year with his .329 actual wOBA.

Progressive Field ranks as the #3 venue in baseball for RHB BABIP, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Austin Hedges pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.8% — 87th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. Austin Hedges will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats. This season, Austin Hedges has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 94.3 mph compared to last year's 88.4 mph mark.

Kyle Manzardo is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The #3 park in the league for boosting base hits to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field has the 6th-shallowest RF fences among all major league stadiums. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest altitude in MLB. High elevation generally leads to higher offensive output. Kyle Manzardo will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Miles Mikolas today.

David Fry has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.