Miami @ San Francisco picks
Oracle Park
MIA vs SF Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor
Rafael Devers' Giants tenure has gotten off to a bit of a slow start, but he draws Marlins right-hander Janson Junk today. While the journeyman has a solid 2.60 ERA, his expected ERA is 4.20, and he never consistently missed bats in the minors.
Total RBIs

Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. The shallowest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for righty batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Among all the teams today, the 14th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.. Over the past week, Connor Norby's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 94.2-mph over the course of the season to 99.9-mph of late.
Total RBIs

Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for righty batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Among all the teams today, the 14th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (15.3) suggests that Eric Wagaman has had bad variance on his side this year with his 10.3 actual HR/600.
Total RBIs

Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for righty batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Heliot Ramos has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Agustin Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for righty batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Agustin Ramirez has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. The shallowest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs

Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. The shallowest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jesus Sanchez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 park in MLB for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. The shallowest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Outs Recorded

Hayden Birdsong u17.5 Outs Recorded (-135)
Projection 15.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hayden Birdsong to throw 85 pitches in this game (5th-least of the day), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. Alfonso Marquez grades out as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is likely to be calling pitches today.. The shallowest RF dimensions among all major league stadiums are found in Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Considering that flyball batters have a notable edge over groundball pitchers, Hayden Birdsong and his 36.7% underlying GB% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a difficult spot in this outing matching up with 3 opposing GB batters.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nick Fortes o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oracle Park as the 3rd-best park in the game for righty batting average.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Among all the teams today, the 14th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.. Nick Fortes has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 86.7-mph average to last year's 84.1-mph mark.