Boston @ Los Angeles picks
Angel Stadium
BOS vs LAA Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Douglas Farmer
Betting Analyst
It is not that the Angels are good at home (16-18). It is that the Red Sox are bad on the road (18-22), and Walker Buehler is the wrong pitcher to turn to these days when looking for a quality start. Buehler has given up at least three earned runs in each of his last four starts. The Angels' home bats should knock him out early once again.
Total RBIs

Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Hitters such as Taylor Ward with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walker Buehler who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Trout tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Walker Buehler.. Mike Trout will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Travis d'Arnaud o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Travis d'Arnaud is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Travis d'Arnaud will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. The Barrel% of Travis d'Arnaud has significantly improved, with an increase from 10.5% last year to 16.7% this year.. Travis d'Arnaud has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.6-mph average over the last week to his seasonal EV of 96.6-mph.
Total RBIs

Logan O'Hoppe o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Logan O'Hoppe is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 8.9-mph in this contest, the best of the day for bats.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Logan O'Hoppe will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Taylor Ward o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Hitters such as Taylor Ward with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walker Buehler who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Taylor Ward o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 94th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Hitters such as Taylor Ward with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Walker Buehler who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Taylor Ward will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Mike Trout o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Trout tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Walker Buehler.. Mike Trout will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

LaMonte Wade Jr. o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, LaMonte Wade Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. LaMonte Wade Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s launch angle this year (21.9°) is significantly higher than his 12.8° figure last season.. LaMonte Wade Jr.'s speed has gotten better this season. His 25.16 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.92 ft/sec now.
Total Bases

Mike Trout o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mike Trout projects as the 6th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Extreme groundball hitters like Mike Trout tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Walker Buehler.. Mike Trout will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases

Wilyer Abreu o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Among all parks, Angel Stadium has the lowest average fence height.. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Jack Kochanowicz today.. Hitters such as Wilyer Abreu with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jack Kochanowicz who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.