Baltimore @ New York Picks & Props

Ramon Urias has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (69% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today. Ramon Urias has made notable strides with his Barrel% in recent games, upping his 6.9% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the last week. Ramon Urias has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 101.2-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal figure of 92.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Ryan O'Hearn will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren in today's game... and even more favorably, Warren has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Ryan O'Hearn can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Because of Will Warren's large platoon split, Cedric Mullins will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Cedric Mullins stands a good chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Cedric Mullins pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.6% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Hitters such as Cedric Mullins with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Will Warren who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Yankee Stadium profiles as the #27 ballpark in Major League Baseball for lefty BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all stadiums, which tends to lead to less offense. Gunnar Henderson has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Gunnar Henderson in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 7.1% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the past two weeks.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today. Compared to last season, Dylan Carlson has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39.1% to 50.7% this season. Dylan Carlson's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, increasing from 50.7% on the season to 60% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will hold the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer today. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Jazz Chisholm Jr. will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Anthony Volpe will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today. With a .356 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ramon Laureano is positioned in the 85th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Considering Will Warren's large platoon split, Jackson Holliday will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jackson Holliday can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Trent Grisham will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer today. Trent Grisham pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.3% — 84th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today.

Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Aaron Judge will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Aaron Judge has made substantial improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 25.1% seasonal rate to 38.1% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 91st percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren today... and moreover, Warren has a large platoon split. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Colton Cowser has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. The New York Yankees outfield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst among all the teams today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Giancarlo Stanton ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Giancarlo Stanton is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Giancarlo Stanton will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Giancarlo Stanton has had bad variance on his side thus far when it comes to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .331 rate is considerably lower than his .344 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Austin Wells will have an edge in today's game. Austin Wells will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Austin Wells has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 93.2-mph over the last 7 days. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (21.1°) is significantly better than his 16.9° angle last season.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Hitters such as DJ LeMahieu with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Dean Kremer who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. DJ LeMahieu will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats. DJ LeMahieu's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 56.3%.

The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Oswald Peraza will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.298) provides evidence that Oswald Peraza has suffered from bad luck this year with his .239 actual wOBA. Ranking in the 89th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.91 ft/sec this year, Oswald Peraza is quite quick.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 80th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Cody Bellinger will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer today. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34% — 81st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.4-mph in this match-up, the 3rd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Ben Rice will have an edge in today's game. Ben Rice pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 88th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.

Coby Mayo has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

Paul Goldschmidt has gone over 1.5 in 1 of his last 10 games.