Detroit @ Tampa Bay picks
George M. Steinbrenner Field
DET vs TB Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown

Sawyer Gipson-Long u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
Projection 3.3 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sawyer Gipson-Long to throw 60 pitches in this game (3rd-least of all pitchers on the slate today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Quinn Wolcott) behind the plate today.. Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Sawyer Gipson-Long (32.7% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in today's game with 3 GB hitters in Tampa Bay's projected batting order.. Playing on the road generally diminishes pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sawyer Gipson-Long in today's game.
Total RBIs

Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Gleyber Torres has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. In the last week's worth of games, Gleyber Torres's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.5% up to 16.7%.
Total RBIs

Wenceel Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Wenceel Perez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The switch-hitting Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Ryan Pepiot.. Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Wenceel Perez has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.4% rate last year to 18.8% this year.
Total RBIs

Christopher Morel o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.. Christopher Morel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Kerry Carpenter o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand in today's game.. Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent.. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.. Junior Caminero will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Brant Hurter today.. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Yandy Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his batting average skill, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 8th-best hitter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst among all the teams playing today.
Total RBIs

Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Riley Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today.. Riley Greene has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 13.4% rate last season to 19.1% this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jake Rogers o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
On average, the fence height at George M. Steinbrenner Field is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jake Rogers has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs since the start of last season; his 15.4 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount lower than his 22.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.