Detroit @ Tampa Bay Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 85th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today. Christopher Morel will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. Christopher Morel has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year's 89.1-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-worst field in the game for left-handed batting average. The switch-hitting Jake Mangum will be less advantaged while batting from his bad side (0) today against Brant Hurter Jake Mangum has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will be challenged by baseball's 7th-deepest LF fences today. Extreme groundball hitters like Jake Mangum are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Sawyer Gipson-Long. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jake Mangum's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal average of 92.9 mph to 86.4 mph.

Jake Rogers has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .263 figure is deflated compared to his .279 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Wenceel Perez is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. The switch-hitting Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Ryan Pepiot. Wenceel Perez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Wenceel Perez has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 4.4% rate last year to 18.8% this year. Wenceel Perez has made substantial gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 18.8% seasonal rate to 26.7% in the last week's worth of games.

The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Jose Caballero will hold that advantage in today's game. Over the last two weeks, Jose Caballero's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.6%. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 43.9% to 51.4%. In notching a .315 BABIP since the start of last season, Jose Caballero finds himself in the 79th percentile.

George M. Steinbrenner Field projects as the #22 ballpark in the game for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Brant Hurter will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Sawyer Gipson-Long. In the past 14 days, Yandy Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 94 mph to 89.4 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Junior Caminero is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today. Junior Caminero will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Junior Caminero has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last season's 89.5-mph mark.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Kerry Carpenter ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kerry Carpenter is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand in today's game. Kerry Carpenter pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 87th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Over the past week, Kerry Carpenter's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 13.3% up to 20%.

Extreme groundball bats like Danny Jansen tend to perform worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Sawyer Gipson-Long. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Danny Jansen will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Danny Jansen has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, improving his 7.2% seasonal rate to 18.2% in the last two weeks. Danny Jansen's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 16.4% to 19.8%.

Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Pepiot throws from, Trey Sweeney will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Parker Meadows will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Parker Meadows has seen a notable improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 91.6-mph average to last season's 87-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gleyber Torres in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Gleyber Torres has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Gleyber Torres's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10.5% up to 16.7%. Gleyber Torres's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 16.6% to 20.9%.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. Brandon Lowe will have the handedness advantage against Brant Hurter today. Brandon Lowe pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today.

Extreme groundball hitters like Javier Baez generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryan Pepiot. Javier Baez has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 23.1% in the past week. Javier Baez has compiled a .291 batting average this year, placing in the 89th percentile.

The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today. Taylor Walls will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 15.8% to 19.7%. Over the last 14 days, Taylor Walls's 40.9% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.7%. Taylor Walls has been unlucky in regards to his batting average this year; his .212 rate is considerably lower than his .231 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Kameron Misner will hold the platoon advantage against Brant Hurter in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Kameron Misner will hold that advantage today. Over the last two weeks, Kameron Misner has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 36° compared to his seasonal mark of 15.3°.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 5th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Riley Greene will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Riley Greene has made big strides with his Barrel%, upping his 13.4% rate last season to 19.1% this year. In the last week, Riley Greene's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 19.1% up to 33.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colt Keith in the 88th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Colt Keith is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Colt Keith will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot in today's game. Colt Keith has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 10.5% seasonal rate to 20% in the past two weeks' worth of games. Colt Keith has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.1-mph to 97-mph over the last 14 days.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Jonathan Aranda will have the handedness advantage against Brant Hurter in today's matchup. The Detroit Tigers infield defense profiles as the worst among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Jonathan Aranda will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. Spencer Torkelson has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.8% rate last season to 14.5% this year. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Spencer Torkelson has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 25.9° compared to his seasonal mark of 21.1°. Spencer Torkelson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 17.6% to 26.8%. Spencer Torkelson has put up a .342 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year, placing in the 79th percentile for offensive ability according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Zach McKinstry will have the handedness advantage against Ryan Pepiot today. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 44.5% to 54.6%. Zach McKinstry's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased in recent games, going from 54.6% on the season to 60% in the last 14 days. Zach McKinstry has recorded a .273 Expected Batting Average this year, grading out in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Zach McKinstry has recorded a .359 BABIP this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.