Cleveland @ Athletics Picks & Props

Sutter Health Park has the 6th-deepest left field dimensions among all parks. Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-least humid conditions on the slate at 35%. Tanner Bibee will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob Wilson today. Jacob Wilson's average exit velocity has declined lately; his 86-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 82.4-mph in the last week. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jacob Wilson has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-least humid conditions on the slate at 35%. Tanner Bibee will have the handedness advantage over Brent Rooker today. Brent Rooker hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 88th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 11th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Extreme groundball batters like Brent Rooker are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Tanner Bibee.

Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-least humid conditions on the slate at 35%. Jose Ramirez pulls a lot of his flyballs (41.3% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 6th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup. Typically, batters like Jose Ramirez who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Jeffrey Springs. Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Athletics. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jose Ramirez in today's matchup.

When starting against a southpaw this year, Steven Kwan has been lifted for a pinch-hitter 10% of the time. Low humidity has a small but significant connection with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather report projects the 2nd-least humid conditions on the slate at 35%. Jeffrey Springs will hold the platoon advantage against Steven Kwan in today's game. In today's matchup, Steven Kwan is at a disadvantage facing the league's 6th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.6% rate (93rd percentile). Among all the teams today, the 5th-best infield defense is that of the the Athletics.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gabriel Arias in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Gabriel Arias will have an advantage today. Extreme groundball hitters like Gabriel Arias tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jeffrey Springs. Gabriel Arias has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, improving his 10.3% seasonal rate to 33.3% in the past week's worth of games.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Angel Martinez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Jeffrey Springs in this game. Over the past week, Angel Martinez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 3.3% up to 12.5%. In the past week's worth of games, Angel Martinez's 50% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 41.2%.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Austin Hedges will have an advantage in today's matchup. Austin Hedges has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 94.5-mph average to last year's 88.4-mph EV. Austin Hedges's 24.1° launch angle (an advanced standard to study a batter's ability to lift the ball for power) is among the most flyball-inducing in the game: 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Johnathan Rodriguez will have an edge today. Extreme groundball hitters like Johnathan Rodriguez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jeffrey Springs.

Lane Thomas is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jeffrey Springs throws from, Lane Thomas will have an advantage today. Lane Thomas's launch angle this season (21.5°) is considerably better than his 16.8° angle last year. Despite posting a .195 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Lane Thomas has had some very poor luck given the .116 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .311.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Carlos Santana will get to bat from his good side against Jeffrey Springs in this game. Carlos Santana has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 92.9-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 89.2-mph mark. Carlos Santana has displayed strong plate discipline this year, placing in the 86th percentile with a 1.53 K/BB rate.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters. Tyler Soderstrom will hold the platoon advantage against Tanner Bibee in today's game. Tyler Soderstrom will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. As it relates to his batting average, Tyler Soderstrom has suffered from bad luck this year. His .246 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .264.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lawrence Butler is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters. Lawrence Butler will hold the platoon advantage over Tanner Bibee in today's matchup. Lawrence Butler will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Luis Urias will hold that advantage today. Over the last 14 days, Luis Urias's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.7-mph over the course of the season to 95.5-mph recently. Over the last week, Luis Urias's 31.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 10.3%. With a 1.23 K/BB rate this year, Luis Urias has shown strong plate discipline, ranking in the 94th percentile.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Denzel Clarke is projected as the 13th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters. Extreme groundball batters like Denzel Clarke tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Tanner Bibee. Denzel Clarke will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats. In the last 7 days, Denzel Clarke's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 33.3% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°.

Max Muncy's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Max Muncy is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Muncy has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.1% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past 14 days.

David Fry is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters. David Fry will hold the platoon advantage against Jeffrey Springs today. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, David Fry ranks in the 92nd percentile with a 19.3° launch angle, which is one of the highest angles in MLB. A low launch angle standard deviation tends to lead to a higher batting average on balls in play, and David Fry's 26° mark (90th percentile) since the start of last season indicates a strong hitting profile.

Nicholas Kurtz has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (92% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Tanner Bibee throws from, Nicholas Kurtz will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Nicholas Kurtz will hold that advantage today. In the past week, Nicholas Kurtz's maximum exit velocity (a good measure of recent form and raw power) has been 111.7-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in Major League Baseball.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Austin Wynns will hold that advantage in today's game. Austin Wynns has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 106.1-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 95.5-mph. Austin Wynns's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better lately, increasing from 58.5% on the season to 66.7% over the past week.

JJ Bleday has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.