New York @ Philadelphia picks

The Mets are suddenly scrambling to find wins, as they’ve been swept in two straight series to bring them back into a tie atop the NL East standings with Philadelphia. In particular, New York has struggled to score runs, averaging just 2.33 runs per game during its losing streak. 

Soto has cleared this line in 12 of his past 20 games, averaging 2.6 H+R+R. He has also hit for more power, generating 2.2 bases per game over the same stretch. That’s well above his season average of 1.6 bases.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler today.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Justin Hagenman today... and the cherry on top, Hagenman has a large platoon split.. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Kyle Schwarber stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Pete Alonso as MLB's 9th-best home run batter.. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today.. Pete Alonso has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 13.2% rate last year to 20.5% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball.. J.T. Realmuto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In the last 7 days, J.T. Realmuto's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 45.1%.. J.T. Realmuto has been unlucky this year, putting up a .296 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .331 — a .035 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 86th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Bryson Stott will have the handedness advantage against Justin Hagenman in today's game... and moreover, Hagenman has a large platoon split.. Bryson Stott is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nick Castellanos's batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Nick Castellanos will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Nick Castellanos has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 9.4% seasonal rate to 24.2% over the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm as the 18th-best hitter in the majors when assessing his batting average talent.. Alec Bohm has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Alec Bohm will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Alec Bohm has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 93.3-mph average to last year's 90.3-mph average.

Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today.. Brett Baty has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme flyball bats like Brett Baty usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Zack Wheeler.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today.. Brett Baty has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 5.5% rate last year to 15.3% this season.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler today.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Home runs are generally more common at stadiums with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage against Zack Wheeler today.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams today.