Andy Pages o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
With a 1.069 OPS, it’s no surprise that Andy Pages has racked up 14 RBIs so far in June, while hitting .361, and he stands out as a tricky matchup for San Diego rookie Ryan Bergert. Pages has clubbed 37 of his 50 RBIs against righties, as well as 12 of his 15 dingers.
Fernando Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Ryan Bergert u3.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-120)
Ryan Bergert will make his fourth start of the year. Since transitioning out of the bullpen due to injuries, he has thrown 86 and 83 pitches in his first two starts before 90 in his most recent. He struck out just six batters in those first two starts before clustering eight punchouts in his latest one. He is not a K/inning pitcher, even when he was in the bullpen. Facing the Dodgers in Dodger Stadium with great hitting conditions which include 10-mph winds blowing out isn’t going to help his cause tonight. THE BAT is projecting just 76 pitches today and his Under 3.5 Ks at -115 is a good look even at that short number. He could get tagged or it could look like his first start where he goes five innings with two strikeouts.
He owns a .188 BABIP that isn’t going to be maintained.
Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 11th-most-favorable of the day for batters.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting on the slate. Shohei Ohtani's launch angle lately (4.4° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is a considerable dropoff from his 13° seasonal mark. Shohei Ohtani has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .423 figure is a good deal higher than his .384 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Xander Bogaerts in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Xander Bogaerts is penciled in 5th in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 11th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Xander Bogaerts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Over the last week, Xander Bogaerts's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 4.3% up to 10%.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Manny Machado is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 11th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Manny Machado hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Manny Machado's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (10.1°) is a considerable increase over his 6.4° mark last season.
Jose Iglesias's batting average talent is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 11th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Jose Iglesias has been unlucky this year, putting up a .258 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .282 — a .024 deviation. Jose Iglesias has put up a .330 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, checking in at the 77th percentile. Jose Iglesias has posted a .351 BABIP since the start of last season, placing in the 99th percentile.
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 11th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an advantage in today's game. Jake Cronenworth's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (30.1° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is significantly better than his 14.8° seasonal mark.
According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this game will be the 5th-best for hitting on the slate. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Luis Arraez in today's game. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 87.9-mph mark last year has dropped off to 85.1-mph. Luis Arraez's launch angle lately (4.7° over the past week) is significantly worse than his 12.8° seasonal angle. Luis Arraez has been cold recently, notching a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to evaluate power) in the past week's worth of games.
Teoscar Hernandez's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 11th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Teoscar Hernandez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. Over the past week, Teoscar Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.6% up to 27.3%.
Fernando Tatis Jr. projects as the 8th-best batter in the majors, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fernando Tatis Jr. is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 11th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 95th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Fernando Tatis Jr. has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.9-mph to 96.8-mph over the past week.
Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 11th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an edge in today's matchup. Gavin Sheets has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.8-mph average to last season's 87.8-mph mark. Over the last 7 days, Gavin Sheets's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.7-mph over the course of the season to 101.6-mph lately.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 12th-best batter in baseball when estimating his batting average skill. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this game. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 11th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Ryan Bergert throws from, Freddie Freeman will have the upper hand in today's game.
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Mookie Betts ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 11th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Mookie Betts hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Mookie Betts will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 11th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage today. Tommy Edman has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 90.3-mph average to last year's 88.1-mph average. In the past week, Tommy Edman's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.3-mph over the course of the season to 103.3-mph of late.
Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 11th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Using Statcast data, Bryce Johnson grades out in the 93rd percentile per the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average since the start of last season at .281.
Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 11th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Yoshinobu Yamamoto throws from, Trenton Brooks will have an edge in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andy Pages in the 91st percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Among all stadiums, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 8th-shallowest. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 11th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats across the board, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage today. Andy Pages's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved recently, increasing from 18.6% on the season to 23.5% in the past 7 days.
The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this contest, the 11th-most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Bergert throws from, Max Muncy will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Max Muncy's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, going from 41.2% on the season to 60.9% in the last 14 days. Based on Statcast metrics, Max Muncy ranks in the 88th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .354.
Hyeseong Kim has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.
Tyler Wade has gone over 0.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.
San Diego Trends
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