Colorado @ Washington picks
Nationals Park
COL vs WAS Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Michael Toglia o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters.. Michael Toglia has big-time power (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (33.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Trevor Williams has a pitch-to-contact profile (2nd percentile K%) — great news for Toglia.. Michael Toglia pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs

Brady House o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Brady House is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 6th-shallowest.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters.
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in MLB as it relates to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters.. James Wood will have the handedness advantage against Chase Dollander today.
Total RBIs

Brenton Doyle o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 78th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Among all major league parks, Nationals Park's left field fences are the 6th-shallowest.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters.. Brenton Doyle has strong power (78th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (28% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Trevor Williams has a pitch-to-contact profile (18th percentile K%) — great news for Doyle.
Total Bases

Michael Toglia o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters.. Michael Toglia has big-time power (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (33.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Trevor Williams has a pitch-to-contact profile (2nd percentile K%) — great news for Toglia.. Michael Toglia pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases

Brenton Doyle u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Brenton Doyle has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (88% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the batting order today.. Nationals Park grades out as the #28 stadium in the game for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all stadiums, which generally leads to lower offensive output.. Trevor Williams will hold the platoon advantage over Brenton Doyle in today's game... and it's a particular mismatch considering Williams's large platoon split.. Brenton Doyle will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game.
Total Bases

Ryan McMahon o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run talent, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan McMahon is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters.. Ryan McMahon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Trevor Williams today... and even more favorably, Williams has a large platoon split.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Michael Toglia o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Michael Toglia is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters.. Michael Toglia has big-time power (92nd percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (33.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Trevor Williams has a pitch-to-contact profile (2nd percentile K%) — great news for Toglia.. Michael Toglia pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 76th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total Bases

Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 83rd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 94% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters.. Because of Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Mickey Moniak will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Sam Hilliard o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in MLB are found in Nationals Park.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games today at 89°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the 5th-strongest of the day for batters.. Considering Trevor Williams's large platoon split, Sam Hilliard will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Sam Hilliard has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.