Kansas City @ Texas picks

Patrick Corbin threw 91 pitches in his last start which was a five-game high. It’s nothing crazy, but the lefty has been punching above numbers all year and this Over at plus money is an easy add to the card. In games where Corbin has thrown 87+ pitches, he is 4-1 to the Over on this prop while going 7-5 to the Over on it across the entire season. The Royals are a low-percentage walk team but that is giving us a solid plus-money price that I’d play to +115. I love fading Corbin and today his Over 1.5 walks is the best way to do it based mostly on the price. 

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in baseball.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball hitters like Bobby Witt Jr. usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Patrick Corbin.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jonathan India will have the upper hand in today's game.. In the last week's worth of games, Jonathan India's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.3% up to 18.8%.

When estimating his home run skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Adolis Garcia will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge in today's game.. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his home run talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Salvador Perez will have an advantage today.. Extreme groundball bats like Salvador Perez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Patrick Corbin.

Jake Burger projects as the 18th-best home run hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kris Bubic today.. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Jake Burger has been unlucky this year, putting up a .285 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .342 — a .057 gap.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Marcus Semien will have an advantage in today's game.. Extreme groundball bats like Marcus Semien generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kris Bubic.

Corey Seager projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corey Seager's true offensive talent to be a .374, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .051 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .323 wOBA.

It may be sensible to expect improved performance for the Texas Rangers offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.. Jansen Visconti projects as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kris Bubic in today's matchup.. Kris Bubic's 91.8-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 23rd percentile out of all SPs.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jonathan India will have the upper hand in today's game.. In the last week's worth of games, Jonathan India's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.3% up to 18.8%.