Kansas City @ Texas Picks & Props

KC vs TEX Picks

MLB Picks
Walks Allowed
Patrick Corbin logo Patrick Corbin o1.5 Walks Allowed (+120)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst

Patrick Corbin threw 91 pitches in his last start which was a five-game high. It’s nothing crazy, but the lefty has been punching above numbers all year and this Over at plus money is an easy add to the card. In games where Corbin has thrown 87+ pitches, he is 4-1 to the Over on this prop while going 7-5 to the Over on it across the entire season. The Royals are a low-percentage walk team but that is giving us a solid plus-money price that I’d play to +115. I love fading Corbin and today his Over 1.5 walks is the best way to do it based mostly on the price. 

Total RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in baseball.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball hitters like Bobby Witt Jr. usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Patrick Corbin.
Total RBIs
Jonathan India logo
Jonathan India o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jonathan India will have the upper hand in today's game.. In the last week's worth of games, Jonathan India's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.3% up to 18.8%.
Total RBIs
Jake Burger logo
Jake Burger o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Jake Burger projects as the 18th-best home run hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Jake Burger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kris Bubic today.. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Jake Burger has been unlucky this year, putting up a .285 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .342 — a .057 gap.
Total RBIs
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge in today's game.. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Salvador Perez will have an advantage today.. Extreme groundball bats like Salvador Perez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Patrick Corbin.
Total RBIs
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When estimating his home run skill, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Adolis Garcia will have an advantage in today's game.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Corey Seager projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corey Seager's true offensive talent to be a .374, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .051 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .323 wOBA.
Outs Recorded
Kris Bubic logo
Kris Bubic u17.5 Outs Recorded (+158)
Projection 17.1 (Under)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
It may be sensible to expect improved performance for the Texas Rangers offense in future games, given that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the 2nd-unluckiest offense in baseball this year.. Jansen Visconti projects as a Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be calling pitches in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Playing on the road typically lowers pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Kris Bubic in today's matchup.. Kris Bubic's 91.8-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 23rd percentile out of all SPs.
Total Bases
Bobby Witt Jr. logo
Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in baseball.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have an edge in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball hitters like Bobby Witt Jr. usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Patrick Corbin.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Salvador Perez logo
Salvador Perez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run talent, Salvador Perez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-shortest fence height (on average) in Major League Baseball.. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Salvador Perez will have an advantage today.. Extreme groundball bats like Salvador Perez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Patrick Corbin.
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KC vs TEX Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

63% picking Kansas City vs Texas to go Under

37%
63%

Total PicksKC 190, TEX 322

Total
Over
Under

KC vs TEX Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Jonathan India Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Jonathan India
J. India
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jonathan India will have the upper hand in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Jonathan India's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.3% up to 18.8%. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jonathan India's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 94.3-mph of late.

Jonathan India logo

Jonathan India

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan India in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Jonathan India will have the upper hand in today's game. In the last week's worth of games, Jonathan India's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.3% up to 18.8%. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Jonathan India's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 94.3-mph of late.

Maikel Garcia Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Maikel Garcia
M. Garcia
third base 3B • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The #2 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Maikel Garcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Maikel Garcia today. Maikel Garcia has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 5.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

Maikel Garcia logo

Maikel Garcia

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The #2 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Maikel Garcia hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Maikel Garcia today. Maikel Garcia has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 5.4% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the past week's worth of games.

Bobby Witt Jr. Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Bobby Witt Jr.
B. Witt Jr.
shortstop SS • Kansas City
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

The #2 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Bobby Witt Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 0%.

Bobby Witt Jr. logo

Bobby Witt Jr.

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

The #2 venue in MLB for suppressing batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Globe Life Field. The Globe Life Field roof projects to be closed today, making conditions in this contest -9° colder than the average outdoor game on the slate — favorable for pitching. Bobby Witt Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league's 7th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Bobby Witt Jr.'s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.4% down to 0%.

Sam Haggerty Total Hits Props • Texas

Sam Haggerty
S. Haggerty
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Haggerty in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Sam Haggerty is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Sam Haggerty will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Kris Bubic in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Sam Haggerty will hold that advantage today. Sam Haggerty's quickness has gotten better this season. His 27.78 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.73 ft/sec now.

Sam Haggerty logo

Sam Haggerty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Haggerty in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Sam Haggerty is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the dish, Sam Haggerty will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Kris Bubic in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Sam Haggerty will hold that advantage today. Sam Haggerty's quickness has gotten better this season. His 27.78 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.73 ft/sec now.

Jac Caglianone Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Jac Caglianone
J. Caglianone
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Over the past 14 days, Jac Caglianone's maximum exit velocity (a strong measure of recent form and raw power) has been 113.6-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in MLB. Over the past two weeks, Jac Caglianone's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 60% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Jac Caglianone logo

Jac Caglianone

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Over the past 14 days, Jac Caglianone's maximum exit velocity (a strong measure of recent form and raw power) has been 113.6-mph, which qualifies as one of the hardest-hit balls in MLB. Over the past two weeks, Jac Caglianone's swing has been well optimized for base hits, notching a 60% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of -4° to 26°.

Wyatt Langford Total Hits Props • Texas

Wyatt Langford
W. Langford
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge in today's game. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Wyatt Langford's true offensive ability to be a .357, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .037 gap between that figure and his actual .320 wOBA.

Wyatt Langford logo

Wyatt Langford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Wyatt Langford ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wyatt Langford is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Wyatt Langford will have an edge in today's game. Wyatt Langford will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Wyatt Langford's true offensive ability to be a .357, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .037 gap between that figure and his actual .320 wOBA.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

Adolis Garcia
A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Adolis Garcia will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Adolis Garcia has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph to 95-mph in the last 14 days.

Adolis Garcia logo

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 81st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Adolis Garcia will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Adolis Garcia has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph to 95-mph in the last 14 days.

Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Jung
J. Jung
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Josh Jung's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Josh Jung will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage today. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 16.8% to 20.7%.

Josh Jung logo

Josh Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Josh Jung's BABIP ability is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Josh Jung will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Josh Jung will hold that advantage today. Josh Jung's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 16.8% to 20.7%.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

Marcus Semien
M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Marcus Semien will have an advantage in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Marcus Semien generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kris Bubic. Marcus Semien will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Marcus Semien logo

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Marcus Semien ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Marcus Semien will have an advantage in today's game. Extreme groundball bats like Marcus Semien generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Kris Bubic. Marcus Semien will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Nick Loftin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Nick Loftin
N. Loftin
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Nick Loftin will hold the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's game. Nick Loftin has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last year's 83.6-mph mark. Nick Loftin's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (13.3°) is a considerable increase over his 7.1° mark last season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) implies that Nick Loftin has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .202 actual batting average. When it comes to plate discipline, Nick Loftin's skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.48 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 93rd percentile.

Nick Loftin logo

Nick Loftin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Nick Loftin will hold the platoon advantage against Patrick Corbin in today's game. Nick Loftin has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.4-mph average to last year's 83.6-mph mark. Nick Loftin's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (13.3°) is a considerable increase over his 7.1° mark last season. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.233) implies that Nick Loftin has been unlucky since the start of last season with his .202 actual batting average. When it comes to plate discipline, Nick Loftin's skill is quite impressive, sporting a 1.48 K/BB rate since the start of last season while checking in at in the 93rd percentile.

Jake Burger Total Hits Props • Texas

Jake Burger
J. Burger
first base 1B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kris Bubic today. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Jake Burger has been unlucky this year, putting up a .285 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .342 — a .057 gap.

Jake Burger logo

Jake Burger

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Burger ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jake Burger will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kris Bubic today. Jake Burger will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Jake Burger has been unlucky this year, putting up a .285 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .342 — a .057 gap.

Vinnie Pasquantino Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Vinnie Pasquantino
V. Pasquantino
first base 1B • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.9°, Vinnie Pasquantino has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.6° angle in the last week. Sporting a .273 batting average this year, Vinnie Pasquantino is ranked in the 76th percentile.

Vinnie Pasquantino logo

Vinnie Pasquantino

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in today's game. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.9°, Vinnie Pasquantino has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 21.6° angle in the last week. Sporting a .273 batting average this year, Vinnie Pasquantino is ranked in the 76th percentile.

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

Corey Seager
C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Corey Seager projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corey Seager's true offensive talent to be a .374, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .051 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .323 wOBA. Corey Seager has shown strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 85th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate.

Corey Seager logo

Corey Seager

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Corey Seager projects as the 11th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Corey Seager's true offensive talent to be a .374, providing some evidence that he has been unlucky this year given the .051 discrepancy between that mark and his actual .323 wOBA. Corey Seager has shown strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 85th percentile with a 1.57 K/BB rate.

Freddy Fermin Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Freddy Fermin
F. Fermin
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Freddy Fermin will have an edge today. By putting up a .262 batting average since the start of last season, Freddy Fermin has performed in the 76th percentile.

Freddy Fermin logo

Freddy Fermin

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Hitting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Freddy Fermin will have an edge today. By putting up a .262 batting average since the start of last season, Freddy Fermin has performed in the 76th percentile.

Mark Canha Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Mark Canha
M. Canha
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Mark Canha will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's game. Mark Canha's launch angle this year (17.8°) is a considerable increase over his 9.5° angle last year. By putting up a 1.98 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Mark Canha has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Mark Canha logo

Mark Canha

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Mark Canha will hold the platoon advantage over Patrick Corbin in today's game. Mark Canha's launch angle this year (17.8°) is a considerable increase over his 9.5° angle last year. By putting up a 1.98 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Mark Canha has displayed strong plate discipline, checking in at the 79th percentile.

Drew Waters Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Drew Waters
D. Waters
left outfield LF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Prop
0.5 Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds
Projection Rating

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Drew Waters's launch angle of late (55.5° in the past week) is a significant increase over his 10.7° seasonal mark. Drew Waters has put up a .360 BABIP this year, ranking in the 94th percentile.

Drew Waters logo

Drew Waters

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Drew Waters's launch angle of late (55.5° in the past week) is a significant increase over his 10.7° seasonal mark. Drew Waters has put up a .360 BABIP this year, ranking in the 94th percentile.

Salvador Perez Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Salvador Perez
S. Perez
catcher C • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Salvador Perez will have an advantage today. Extreme groundball bats like Salvador Perez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Patrick Corbin. Salvador Perez's launch angle of late (26.1° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 17.8° seasonal mark. Salvador Perez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .291 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .032 discrepancy.

Salvador Perez logo

Salvador Perez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Salvador Perez is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Patrick Corbin throws from, Salvador Perez will have an advantage today. Extreme groundball bats like Salvador Perez tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Patrick Corbin. Salvador Perez's launch angle of late (26.1° over the past 14 days) is considerably higher than his 17.8° seasonal mark. Salvador Perez has been unlucky this year, putting up a .291 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .323 — a .032 discrepancy.

Kyle Isbel Total Hits Props • Kansas City

Kyle Isbel
K. Isbel
center outfield CF • Kansas City
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Kyle Isbel has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 90.6-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 87.6-mph.

Kyle Isbel logo

Kyle Isbel

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Kyle Isbel has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 90.6-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 87.6-mph.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

Jonah Heim
J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Kris Bubic. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Jonah Heim's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.5%.

Jonah Heim logo

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The switch-hitting Jonah Heim will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Kris Bubic. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Jonah Heim will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the past 7 days, Jonah Heim's 66.7% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.5%.

Ezequiel Duran Total Hits Props • Texas

Ezequiel Duran
E. Duran
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Ezequiel Duran will have the upper hand today. Ezequiel Duran will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to last season, Ezequiel Duran has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.2% to 14.3% this season.

Ezequiel Duran logo

Ezequiel Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Hitting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Ezequiel Duran will have the upper hand today. Ezequiel Duran will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to last season, Ezequiel Duran has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.2% to 14.3% this season.

Kyle Higashioka Total Hits Props • Texas

Kyle Higashioka
K. Higashioka
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Kyle Higashioka will have an edge today. Kyle Higashioka will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Kyle Higashioka logo

Kyle Higashioka

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Batting from the opposite that Kris Bubic throws from, Kyle Higashioka will have an edge today. Kyle Higashioka will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Kansas City Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 DaBoss80 6-4-0 +21380
2 CHEOAPONTE 4-6-0 +19625
3 Sandsaver727 5-5-0 +15915
4 DavePaliwoda 6-4-0 +13570
5 Mava5 7-3-0 +13310
6 jerrygora 3-7-0 +12980
7 Brayy_Wyatt 7-3-0 +12595
8 Yellafella59 7-3-0 +12435
9 stakay125 5-5-0 +12285
10 Mexicali72 3-7-0 +12020
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Texas Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 KingScorpio 7-3-0 +24325
2 mojonaciosoy 8-2-0 +20585
3 bigosports12 7-3-0 +19655
4 hennryh 7-3-0 +17895
5 Whiteyr 4-6-0 +17780
6 MexicanBettor 5-5-0 +16866
7 cameleon53 6-4-0 +16495
8 DODBUCKSTEEL 5-5-0 +15755
9 chensucht 6-4-0 +15755
10 dude18555 6-4-0 +15415
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