Kansas City @ Texas picks

While Seth Lugo did miss a short period this season due to injury, he’s been consistent when available. The right-hander is 3-5 with a 3.18 ERA in 12 starts, and has cashed this prop in two straight.

Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Jac Caglianone will have the handedness advantage over Jack Leiter in today's game.. Jac Caglianone has hit one of the hardest balls in baseball over the last 14 days — 113.9-mph — which is a good proxy for recent form and raw power.. Jac Caglianone has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits lately, lifting balls between -4° and 26° 57.8% of the time in the last 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Wyatt Langford's true offensive ability to be a .359, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .035 gap between that mark and his actual .324 wOBA.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bobby Witt Jr. ranks as the 9th-best hitter in MLB.. Bobby Witt Jr. is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Compared to last year, Bobby Witt Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.7% to 49.4% this season.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (21.7) suggests that Bobby Witt Jr. has had bad variance on his side this year with his 15.4 actual HR/600.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill.. Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Sporting a .369 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Maikel Garcia grades out in the 90th percentile.. Maikel Garcia has recorded a .307 batting average this year, checking in at the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 86th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Evan Carter is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 72% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Evan Carter will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Evan Carter will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Wyatt Langford will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Wyatt Langford's true offensive ability to be a .359, indicating that he has been unlucky this year given the .035 gap between that mark and his actual .324 wOBA.

Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Kyle Isbel will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Kyle Isbel has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph to 91.7-mph in the past two weeks.

Corey Seager projects as the 12th-best batter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Corey Seager is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Batting from the opposite that Seth Lugo throws from, Corey Seager will have an edge today.. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Corey Seager will hold that advantage today.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan India ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan India is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Over the last week, Jonathan India's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 6.3% up to 21.1%.. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Jonathan India's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90-mph over the course of the season to 94.3-mph recently.

Globe Life Field has the 8th-lowest fence height (on average) in the league.. Ezequiel Duran will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Ezequiel Duran's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, increasing from 11.2% to 14.3%.