Los Angeles @ New York picks
Yankee Stadium
LAA vs NYY Picks
MLB Picks
1st 5 Innings MoneyLine

Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
This is a clear case of a regularly overvalued Yankees team being taxed even more in the market because they are "due." I don't expect some masterful showing from Angels SP Kyle Hendricks tonight, but we'll not need it to cash this bet. This is a story of two things: The Yankees continuing to struggle against pitchers who don't have hard-hit issues and an awful matchup for Will Warren.
Total RBIs

Jorge Soler o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jorge Soler in the 97th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Jorge Soler is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.. Jorge Soler has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.8% seasonal rate to 20% in the last week.
Total RBIs

Taylor Ward o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Taylor Ward has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Taylor Ward tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Will Warren.
Total RBIs

Mike Trout o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Mike Trout projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Extreme flyball bats like Mike Trout tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Will Warren.. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Total RBIs

Trent Grisham o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Trent Grisham ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Trent Grisham will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Trent Grisham pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 78th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs

Jazz Chisholm Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jazz Chisholm Jr. in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Hendricks throws from, Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the upper hand today.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls many of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Logan O'Hoppe o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Logan O'Hoppe in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Among all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.. The Barrel% of Logan O'Hoppe has significantly improved, with an increase from 12% last year to 18.4% this season.. Logan O'Hoppe's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (22.7°) is a considerable increase over his 16° figure last season.
Total RBIs

Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (+100)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams playing today.. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Austin Wells o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Austin Wells ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Austin Wells will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Hendricks in today's matchup.. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams playing today.. Austin Wells will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases

Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Aaron Judge projects as the best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Aaron Judge is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest out of all the teams playing today.. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Taylor Ward o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Taylor Ward ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Taylor Ward is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Yankee Stadium is the 9th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Taylor Ward has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Taylor Ward tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Will Warren.