TB -120 o8.5
DET +100 u8.5
MIA +122 o9.0
CIN -132 u9.0
COL +192 o9.5
BOS -212 u9.5
TOR -157 o8.5
CHW +144 u8.5
LAD -130 o7.5
MIL +120 u7.5
PIT +130 o8.5
KC -142 u8.5
CLE +120 o7.5
HOU -130 u7.5
TEX -127 o7.5
LAA +117 u7.5
AZ +107 o8.0
SD -115 u8.0
PHI -135 o7.5
SF +115 u7.5

Colorado @ Washington picks

Nationals Park

COL vs WAS Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Michael Soroka logo Michael Soroka u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+130)
Best Odds
u5.5 +130 FanDuel
Pick made: 20 days ago
Josh Inglis image
Josh Inglis
Betting Analyst
u5.5  +120
 -
u5.5  +130
u5.5  +120
u5.5  +125
u6.5  -162

This is the third pitcher I’m targeting that is coming off a season-high in pitches. Mike Soroka has thrown just 167 innings since 2020. He has battled injuries and is not a guy who will go out there every game and throw 100 pitches. He just threw 102 balls five days ago when his previous starts went for 85, 94, 91, 82, 81, 78, and 83 pitches. He does face the Rockies so there is some worry here, but efficiency should be down and the leash shorter. Additionally, Kevin Roth is saying that a delay is very possible at any moment in this game. His Over 1.5 walks at plus money is another good look but the rain could shorten his outing and there is no need to push him and he is pitching to a 5.14 ERA to boot.  The Rockies have been looking better of late and also aren’t striking out at the highest rate in baseball over the last 14 days.

Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Sam Hilliard logo
Sam Hilliard o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -169 Caesars
Pick made: 20 days ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -175
 -
 -
o0.5  -175
o0.5  -169
 -
The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%.. Sam Hilliard will hold the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka today.. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Sam Hilliard can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.. Since the start of last season, Sam Hilliard has an average exit velocity of 94.6 mph, which ranks among the best in MLB at the 99th percentile.
Outs Recorded
Antonio Senzatela logo
Antonio Senzatela o15.5 Outs Recorded (+112)
Projection 16.6 (Over)
Best Odds
o15.5 +115 Caesars
Pick made: 19 days ago
EV Model Rating
o15.5  +110
 -
o15.5  +112
o15.5  +105
o15.5  +115
o15.5  +105
Nationals Park projects as the #26 field in the majors for base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to worse offense.. Given that groundball pitchers have a substantial edge over groundball bats, Antonio Senzatela and his 46.5% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a favorable position in this outing facing 5 opposing GB bats.. Antonio Senzatela was rolling in his last game started and allowed 0 ER.. Antonio Senzatela has been unlucky this year, putting up a 7.23 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 5.15 — a 2.08 discrepancy.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Ryan Ritter logo
Ryan Ritter o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
o0.5 -160 BetMGM
Pick made: 19 days ago
EV Model Rating
o0.5  -165
 -
 -
o0.5  -160
o0.5  -161
 -
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jacob Young logo
Jacob Young u1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 1.3 (Under)
Best Odds
u1.5 -110 BetMGM
Pick made: 19 days ago
EV Model Rating
u1.5  -115
 -
 -
u1.5  -110
u1.5  -120
 -
When assessing his home run talent, Jacob Young ranks in the 0th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jacob Young is projected to hit 9th in the lineup in today's game.. This year, Jacob Young has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 15% of his appearances when starting against right-handed pitcher.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst park in MLB for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to worse offense.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Mickey Moniak logo
Mickey Moniak o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +100 DraftKings
Pick made: 20 days ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +100
 -
 -
o1.5  +100
o1.5  -115
 -
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mickey Moniak in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Mickey Moniak has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%.. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage over Mike Soroka in today's matchup.. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Ryan McMahon logo
Ryan McMahon o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
Best Odds
o1.5 +110 Caesars
Pick made: 20 days ago
EV Model Rating
o1.5  +100
 -
 -
o1.5  +105
o1.5  +110
 -
When estimating his home run ability, Ryan McMahon ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%.. Ryan McMahon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today's matchup.. Ryan McMahon is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP.

COL vs WAS Consensus Picks

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Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

66% picking Washington

34%
66%

Total PicksCOL 249, WAS 493

Moneyline
COL
WAS
Total

60% picking Colorado vs Washington to go Over

60%
40%

Total PicksCOL 297, WAS 194

Total
Over
Under

COL vs WAS Top User Picks

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User Picks

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