Colorado @ Washington Picks & Props

The #3 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to worse offense. Over the past two weeks, CJ Abrams's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.2% down to 2.7%. CJ Abrams's exit velocity on flyballs has declined lately; his 92-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 85.7-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Over the past two weeks, CJ Abrams's 32.4% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 42.9%.

Keibert Ruiz's BABIP skill is projected in the 1st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Keibert Ruiz is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season. The #3 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to worse offense. Keibert Ruiz's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 86.7-mph seasonal average has decreased to 84.7-mph over the last two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Bell in the 17th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Josh Bell is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today. The #3 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to worse offense. Extreme groundball batters like Josh Bell are generally less successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Antonio Senzatela.

The #3 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to worse offense. Typically, batters like Nathaniel Lowe who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Antonio Senzatela. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last year to this one, going from 14.8% to 10.1%. Nathaniel Lowe's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off in recent games, going from 47.6% on the season to 23.1% in the past 7 days.

The #3 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to worse offense. Typically, bats like James Wood who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Antonio Senzatela. Over the last two weeks, James Wood's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (4.3°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 9.8°. Despite posting a .394 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes James Wood has been lucky given the .034 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .360.

Daylen Lile is projected to hit 7th in the lineup in today's game. The #3 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Nationals Park. Nationals Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to worse offense.

Tyler Freeman's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Freeman is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 88% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%. When it comes to his batting average, Tyler Freeman has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .227 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .242.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%. Ryan McMahon will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon is apt to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals has just 1 same-handed RP. Ryan McMahon has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 78th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%.

The 9th-shallowest right field dimensions in the majors are found in Nationals Park. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%. Sam Hilliard will hold the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka today. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Sam Hilliard can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Since the start of last season, Sam Hilliard has an average exit velocity of 94.6 mph, which ranks among the best in MLB at the 99th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%. Brenton Doyle has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.1-mph average to last year's 89.1-mph figure. Brenton Doyle's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 46.7% on the season to 75% over the last 7 days.

Mickey Moniak has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%. Mickey Moniak will have the handedness advantage over Mike Soroka in today's matchup. The Washington Nationals have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Mickey Moniak can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. Mickey Moniak pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today.

Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%. Michael Toglia pulls many of his flyballs (33.5% — 76th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Michael Toglia's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 43.1% to 50%. Despite posting a .265 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Michael Toglia has been unlucky given the .025 disparity between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .290.

Jordan Beck is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%. The Barrel% of Jordan Beck has significantly improved, with an increase from 6.6% last year to 12.8% this season. In the past week's worth of games, Jordan Beck's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 93.5-mph over the course of the season to 97-mph lately.

Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%. Thairo Estrada pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.

Alex Call has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in today's game. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%. Alex Call has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Alex Call will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats. In terms of plate discipline, Alex Call's talent is quite strong, posting a 1.17 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 95th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 90th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Brady House has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (100% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Nationals Park has the 6th-shallowest LF fences among all stadiums. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brady House will hold that advantage today.

Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%. Hunter Goodman pulls many of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. In the last 7 days, Hunter Goodman's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.2% up to 20%. Hunter Goodman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.8-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 91.3-mph average.

Jacob Young's BABIP ability is projected in the 87th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy correlation with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast predicts the 5th-highest humidity of all games today at 80%. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Jacob Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Jacob Young has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .251 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .278.