Colorado @ Washington Picks & Props

Nationals Park profiles as the #28 ballpark in MLB for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Nationals Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to worse offense. Among every team on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Colorado Rockies. In the last 14 days, Amed Rosario's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal figure of 93 mph to 87 mph. Compared to his seasonal mark of 5°, Amed Rosario's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls has dropped significantly in recent games (1.1° in the past 14 days).

Brenton Doyle's BABIP talent is projected in the 76th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The 6th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Nationals Park. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brenton Doyle has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 93-mph in the past 14 days. Brenton Doyle's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, rising from 46.4% on the season to 73.3% in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The 6th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Nationals Park. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Nathaniel Lowe's BABIP skill is projected in the 79th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nathaniel Lowe is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Nathaniel Lowe will probably have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage today. Mickey Moniak is apt to have an edge against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. Mickey Moniak pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Mickey Moniak's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased lately, going from 17.3% on the season to 40% in the last 7 days.

Tyler Freeman's batting average talent is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Tyler Freeman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 91% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The 6th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Nationals Park. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Tyler Freeman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.5-mph average to last year's 87.7-mph average.

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Ryan McMahon will have the handedness advantage against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. Ryan McMahon is likely to have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Washington Nationals only has 1 same-handed RP. Ryan McMahon has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Orlando Arcia pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 76th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Jordan Beck is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game. The 6th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Nationals Park. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Jordan Beck has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.6% rate last season to 12.9% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 2nd-best batter in the game as it relates to his BABIP talent. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup today. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

CJ Abrams's batting average talent is projected to be in the 75th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). CJ Abrams is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so CJ Abrams has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. CJ Abrams pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Thairo Estrada is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Thairo Estrada pulls many of his flyballs (37.1% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Thairo Estrada has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.2-mph average to last year's 86.1-mph average.

Alex Call has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (51% of the time), but he is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Alex Call will have the handedness advantage against Carson Palmquist today... and even better, Palmquist has a large platoon split. Alex Call has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Alex Call will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Given Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Jacob Young will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Jacob Young has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (42.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Bats such as Jacob Young with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Carson Palmquist who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Palmquist in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Palmquist has a large platoon split. Riley Adams has a 78th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage in today's game. Riley Adams has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .185 rate is deflated compared to his .227 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Hunter Goodman pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.9% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Hunter Goodman has made significant strides with his Barrel% of late, improving his 11.3% seasonal rate to 21.9% in the past two weeks. Hunter Goodman has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 95.6-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.3-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The 6th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Nationals Park. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Brady House will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Palmquist in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Palmquist has a large platoon split. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Brady House will hold that advantage in today's game.

This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.6% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 10th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Keibert Ruiz will hold that advantage in today's game.

Andres Chaparro is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. The 6th-shallowest left field fences in the league are found in Nationals Park. This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Considering Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Andres Chaparro will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. Andres Chaparro will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

This matchup is forecasted to have the 11th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. Josh Bell has an 83rd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 10th-shallowest RF fences today. Extreme groundball batters like Josh Bell tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Carson Palmquist. Josh Bell will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to boost all of his stats. Josh Bell has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal 89.9-mph EV.

Robert Hassell III has gone over 0.5 in 3 of his last 10 games.