San Francisco @ Los Angeles picks

With starters Kyle Harrison and Dustin May both sporting ERAs north of 4.00 heading into Sunday Night Baseball, expect a high-scoring affair between these NL West rivals.

There is a sizable pitching mismatch at Dodger Stadium tonight, with San Francisco sending struggling southpaw Kyle Harrison to the bump to face Los Angeles righty Dustin May. Harrison has surrendered eight earned runs on 13 hits and three walks across 9 1/3 innings over his past two starts, while May has been sharp at home for the Dodgers. The Los Angeles starter has a tidy 2.97 ERA and 1.11 WHIP across his six home starts, and May has recorded five strikeouts or more in five of the six with 10.0 K.9 and a 27.2 K%. I also value the Dodgers ranking fourth in wOBA and pacing the majors in ISO against left-handed pitchers, while the Giants respectively rank 17th and 19th against lefties with the 12th-highest K% against righties. Plus, San Francisco has only covered the run line in nine of its past 28 road games (-12.15 Units / -35% ROI).

Betts has been as good as they come against left-handed pitchers over the past three years with a monster .450 wOBA, .373 ISO and 1.097 OPS. Betts also bats exclusively in the two-hole of the potent Los Angeles lineup, and he’s already piled up 47 runs, 66 hits and 35 RBI across 64 games this season.

Willy Adames has posted a hard-hit rate in the 75th percentile against breaking pitches this season, which will prove beneficial as Dustin May goes back to that well tonight.

Teoscar Hernandez has a thing for lefties like Giants SP Kyle Harrison, hitting them quite hard. Entering this matchup, only one player with at least 45 plate appearances has a higher isolated power rating against southpaws — Aaron Judge. Pretty good company.

The BAT projects Andy Pages for 1.8 bases, noting that the plus-money price here gives it the distinction of a five-star bet. It also notes that Pages will benefit from being a right-handed batter, as Dodger Stadium is the second-best ballpark for right-handed home runs. Lastly, it also notes that temperatures in the upper 80s should increase ball carry and offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dalton Rushing in the 77th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. The #2 park in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The #2 park in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Considering Dustin May's huge platoon split, Mike Yastrzemski will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The #2 park in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Willy Adames is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for RHB home runs.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for RHB home runs.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Enrique Hernandez hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for RHB home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for RHB home runs.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP talent.. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for RHB home runs.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Mookie Betts ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Dodger Stadium as the 2nd-best ballpark in baseball for RHB home runs.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.. The weather forecast forecasts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Freddie Freeman projects as the 17th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 park in MLB for boosting home runs to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Dodger Stadium.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest centerfield fences among all parks.. On average, the fence height at Dodger Stadium is the shortest among all major league baseball stadiums.