San Diego @ Arizona Picks & Props

Merrill Kelly will have the handedness advantage against Manny Machado in today's matchup. Manny Machado hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league's 3rd-deepest CF fences today. Out of every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Manny Machado in today's game. Manny Machado's launch angle in recent games (4.5° over the past 7 days) is quite a bit worse than his 14.1° seasonal mark.

Batting from the same side that Merrill Kelly throws from, Fernando Tatis Jr. will not have the upper hand in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will be challenged by baseball's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Out of every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Fernando Tatis Jr. will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. Fernando Tatis Jr. has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 13.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lockridge in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Ranking in the 99th percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.87 ft/sec this year, Brandon Lockridge is notably athletic.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Elias Diaz has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 93.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 90.2-mph. There has been a significant improvement in Elias Diaz's launch angle from last year's 7.3° to 17.6° this season.

The 3rd-deepest CF fences in Major League Baseball are found in Chase Field. Out of every team on the slate today, the best infield defense is that of the Arizona Diamondbacks. Luis Arraez will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Luis Arraez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 87.9-mph mark last season has lowered to 85.2-mph. In the past 14 days, Luis Arraez's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (7.5°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 10.8°.

Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today's game.

Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Extreme groundball hitters like Jose Herrera usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nick Pivetta. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Jose Herrera will hold that advantage in today's game.

Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Tyler Wade will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's matchup. Tyler Wade has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 85.6-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal 82.7-mph mark.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Corbin Carroll ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Corbin Carroll is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Geraldo Perdomo will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Pavin Smith ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Pavin Smith will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's game.

Alek Thomas's batting average skill is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Alek Thomas will hold the platoon advantage against Nick Pivetta in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Iglesias in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense. Jose Iglesias has notched a .337 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, ranking in the 81st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 88th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.