San Diego @ Arizona picks
Chase Field
SD vs AZ Picks
MLB Picks
1st 5 Innings Spread

JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
Merrill Kelly has been terrific lately, holding opponents scoreless across his last two starts (13 IP) while surrendering just five hits and three walks while striking out 15.
Total RBIs

Ketel Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs

Fernando Tatis Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks as the 8th-best hitter in MLB.. Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs

Jake Cronenworth o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Jake Cronenworth ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Jake Cronenworth will have an edge in today's game.. Jake Cronenworth's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls of late (29.7° in the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 13.7° seasonal angle.
Total RBIs

Gavin Sheets o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Gavin Sheets is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Batting from the opposite that Merrill Kelly throws from, Gavin Sheets will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Manny Machado o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Manny Machado in the 96th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Manny Machado is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs

Xander Bogaerts o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Xander Bogaerts's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Xander Bogaerts is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.
Total RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Eugenio Suarez projects as the 16th-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Eugenio Suarez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 94.7-mph average over the last week to his seasonal 88.6-mph average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Elias Diaz o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best park in MLB for righty batting average.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.. Elias Diaz has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 93.9-mph average over the last two weeks to his seasonal EV of 90.2-mph.. There has been a significant improvement in Elias Diaz's launch angle from last year's 7.3° to 17.6° this season.
Total Bases

Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #2 venue in the league for boosting batting average to left-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to higher offensive output.. The Chase Field roof is expected to be closed today, making the temperature in this game 6° hotter than the average outdoor game on the slate today — favorable for offense.