New York @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. This matchup is forecasted to have the most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Aaron Judge will be at a colossal disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's matchup. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. This matchup is forecasted to have the most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers. Brayan Bello will hold the platoon advantage over Paul Goldschmidt in today's game... and it's an over-sized mismatch considering Bello's large platoon split. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to lower offensive output. This matchup is forecasted to have the most suitable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 2nd-best of the day for pitchers. Among all the teams playing today, the 4th-strongest infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox. Playing on the road typically reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Cody Bellinger in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jazz Chisholm Jr. is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Jazz Chisholm Jr. will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Bello has a large platoon split. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Rafael Devers has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Rafael Devers has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences today.

Abraham Toro is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The switch-hitting Abraham Toro will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Max Fried. Abraham Toro pulls many of his flyballs (33.3% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Abraham Toro will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Rob Refsnyder's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rob Refsnyder is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Rob Refsnyder will have the handedness advantage against Max Fried in today's game.

As it relates to his BABIP ability, Jarren Duran is projected as the 15th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Fenway Park profiles as the #4 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jarren Duran has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Jarren Duran has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game. Jarren Duran will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Ceddanne Rafaela will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried in today's matchup. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 82nd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Ceddanne Rafaela will hold that advantage in today's game.

Fenway Park profiles as the #4 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in MLB. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Austin Wells will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today. Extreme groundball hitters like Austin Wells are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Brayan Bello. Austin Wells's launch angle this year (20.5°) is significantly higher than his 16.9° mark last season.

Fenway Park profiles as the #4 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in MLB. J.C. Escarra will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello today... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split.

Anthony Volpe's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Anthony Volpe has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Anthony Volpe has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.7-mph average to last season's 87.6-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jasson Dominguez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest right field fences in MLB. The switch-hitting Jasson Dominguez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Brayan Bello... and even better, Bello has a large platoon split. Grading out in the 75th percentile, Jasson Dominguez sports a .312 BABIP since the start of last season.

Trent Grisham is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Trent Grisham will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. Trent Grisham pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. With a .356 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Trent Grisham is positioned in the 85th percentile.

Kristian Campbell's BABIP skill is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Kristian Campbell will hold the platoon advantage against Max Fried in today's game. Kristian Campbell has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. Kristian Campbell will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Connor Wong will have the handedness advantage over Max Fried today. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Connor Wong will hold that advantage in today's game. Posting a .326 BABIP since the start of last season, Connor Wong is positioned in the 88th percentile.

Carlos Narvaez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (70% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest LF dimensions in Major League Baseball. Carlos Narvaez will hold the platoon advantage over Max Fried today. Carlos Narvaez will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Ben Rice ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Ben Rice is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Fenway Park profiles as the #4 venue in the majors for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Considering Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Ben Rice will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Ben Rice pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Trevor Story is penciled in 4th in the lineup today. The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Batting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Trevor Story will have the upper hand today. Trevor Story hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 95th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. DJ LeMahieu has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today. DJ LeMahieu's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 41.9% to 60.4%. DJ LeMahieu has been unlucky in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .221 figure is deflated compared to his .249 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. By putting up a 1.7 K/BB rate since the start of last season, DJ LeMahieu has demonstrated favorable plate discipline, checking in at the 87th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Hitting from the opposite that Max Fried throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have an advantage in today's matchup. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 3rd-shallowest RF fences today.

The #4 stadium in MLB for boosting batting average to right-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Oswald Peraza pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's shallowest LF fences today. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Oswald Peraza has had some very poor luck this year. His .248 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .309. Oswald Peraza is very fast, placing in the 88th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.75 ft/sec this year.