San Francisco @ Los Angeles Picks & Props

Hitters such as Mike Yastrzemski with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Clayton Kershaw who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Mike Yastrzemski has made significant strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 9.1% seasonal rate to 27.3% in the past week. Mike Yastrzemski has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.4-mph to 97.3-mph over the last 7 days. By putting up a 1.74 K/BB rate this year, Mike Yastrzemski has displayed favorable plate discipline, ranking in the 77th percentile.

Wilmer Flores is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Wilmer Flores will hold the platoon advantage over Clayton Kershaw in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Wilmer Flores tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Clayton Kershaw. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hitting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Tyler Fitzgerald will have an advantage today. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Tyler Fitzgerald has posted a .353 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 98th percentile.

Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.297) implies that Freddie Freeman has had positive variance on his side this year with his .347 actual batting average.

In the past two weeks' worth of games, Shohei Ohtani's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 22.2% down to 15.4%. As it relates to his batting average, Shohei Ohtani has been very fortunate this year. His .290 rate has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266.

Dominic Smith is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. Dominic Smith hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Dominic Smith is in the 97th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs (20.7% rate since the start of last season).

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Willy Adames will have an edge in today's matchup. Willy Adames hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 9th-shallowest CF fences today. Extreme flyball hitters like Willy Adames are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Clayton Kershaw.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. Heliot Ramos will have the handedness advantage against Clayton Kershaw today. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 41.9% to 48%.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Mookie Betts ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Mookie Betts is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Batters such as Mookie Betts with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Landen Roupp who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 96th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Jung Hoo Lee is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Compared to last year, Jung Hoo Lee has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 44% to 49.8% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Teoscar Hernandez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past week, Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 92-mph over the course of the season to 98.3-mph recently.

In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Batting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Casey Schmitt will have the upper hand today. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. Over the past 14 days, Casey Schmitt's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 99.3-mph over the course of the season to 105.1-mph in recent games. Casey Schmitt's launch angle in recent games (29° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 11.7° seasonal figure.

Tommy Edman's batting average ability is projected to be in the 80th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and Tommy Edman will hold that advantage today. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, rising from 36.9% to 49.7%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.285) implies that Tommy Edman has experienced some negative variance this year with his .250 actual batting average.

Max Muncy will have the handedness advantage over Landen Roupp today. Max Muncy will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP. Batters such as Max Muncy with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Landen Roupp who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Max Muncy will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Andy Pages ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Hitters such as Andy Pages with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Landen Roupp who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Andy Pages will hold that advantage in today's game.

Andrew Knizner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw today. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jerar Encarnacion in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Hitting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Jerar Encarnacion will have an advantage today. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest out of all the teams on the slate today. In terms of his batting average, Jerar Encarnacion has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .223 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .266.

In the league, Dodger Stadium's CF fences are the 9th-shallowest. Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage over Landen Roupp today. The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Michael Conforto can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. The San Francisco Giants infield defense profiles as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today. Michael Conforto will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

Hyeseong Kim has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.