Pittsburgh @ Chicago picks
Wrigley Field
PIT vs CHC Picks
MLB Picks
Total Strikeouts

Pick made: 2 months ago

Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs

Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Cade Horton today.. Oneil Cruz has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 15.7% rate last year to 24.6% this year.. Oneil Cruz has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last year's 95.3-mph mark.
Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Tucker are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Skenes.
Total RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best batter in the game.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Among all stadiums, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. Bats such as Seiya Suzuki with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Paul Skenes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (59% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Pete Crow-Armstrong will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Cade Horton.. Bryan Reynolds has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Henry Davis o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Henry Davis pulls many of his flyballs (35.5% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Henry Davis has made big strides with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.2% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past two weeks.. Henry Davis has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 91.2-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal 85.5-mph average.. Henry Davis's launch angle lately (32.3° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 27.3° seasonal mark.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Tucker o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Wrigley Field sits at the 10th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Paul Skenes throws from, Kyle Tucker will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Kyle Tucker are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Paul Skenes.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. Oneil Cruz will have the handedness advantage against Cade Horton today.. Oneil Cruz has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 15.7% rate last year to 24.6% this year.. Oneil Cruz has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 97.3-mph average to last year's 95.3-mph mark.
Total Bases

Oneil Cruz u1.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 0.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The #8 park in baseball for suppressing offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Wrigley Field.. Among all parks, Wrigley Field's right field dimensions are the 5th-deepest.. Among all stadiums, the 7th-highest average fence height are at Wrigley Field.. The Chicago Cubs infield defense profiles as the 5th-best among every team playing today.. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Oneil Cruz in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 18th-best batter in the game.. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. Among all stadiums, Wrigley Field's LF dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. Bats such as Seiya Suzuki with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Paul Skenes who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Seiya Suzuki will hold that advantage today.