Pittsburgh @ Chicago Picks & Props

PIT vs CHC Picks

MLB Picks
Spread
Chicago Cubs logo CHC -1.5 (+112)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Neil Parker image
Neil Parker
Betting Analyst

Cubs starter Jameson Taillon has won four straight with a tidy 1.69 ERA and 0.75 WHIP, and the Pirates check out as a favorable matchup with a 27th-ranked wOBA and dead-last ISO against right-handed pitchers. The Cubs have also had their way with southpaws, so I’m anticipating Pirates lefty Andrew Heaney to have hiccups Thursday night. Chicago sports a seventh-ranked wOBA and fourth-ranked ISO against left-handed pitchers this season, and the Cubbies are also 20-11 with an average of 5.2 runs per home game, after all. The Pirates, meanwhile, are just 9-22 on the highway with an average of 2.9 runs per game.

Total RBIs
Kyle Tucker logo Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
Andrew Caley image
Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst

Somehow, we are still getting huge numbers for Tucker to get an RBI. This one has to be due to the perceived splits edge for Heaney. But not only is Heaney do for a regression with a 4.70 xERA, but he and Tucker have reverse splits with lefties doing the most damage against him.

Total RBIs
Andrew McCutchen logo
Andrew McCutchen o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. Andrew McCutchen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today.. Andrew McCutchen has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last season's 93-mph figure.
Total RBIs
Kyle Tucker logo
Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Kyle Tucker is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Pittsburgh (#1-worst of all teams on the slate today).
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game.. Oneil Cruz has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 15.7% rate last year to 24.6% this year.. Oneil Cruz has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 97.5-mph average to last season's 95.3-mph average.
Total RBIs
Bryan Reynolds logo
Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup.. Bryan Reynolds has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Carson Kelly logo
Carson Kelly o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Carson Kelly will have an edge in today's matchup.. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today.. This season, Carson Kelly has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 95.5 mph compared to last year's 91.4 mph mark.
Total RBIs
Pete Crow-Armstrong logo
Pete Crow-Armstrong o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Seiya Suzuki logo
Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Seiya Suzuki projects as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have the upper hand in today's game.. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Oneil Cruz projects as the 6th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game.. Oneil Cruz has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 15.7% rate last year to 24.6% this year.. Oneil Cruz has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 97.5-mph average to last season's 95.3-mph average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Henry Davis logo
Henry Davis o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-150)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. Henry Davis pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Henry Davis has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games.. Over the past 14 days, Henry Davis's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.2-mph of late.. Henry Davis's launch angle in recent games (31.6° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 26.6° seasonal figure.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Jared Triolo logo
Jared Triolo o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense.. Over the past 7 days, Jared Triolo's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.8%.. In terms of his batting average, Jared Triolo has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .210 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .236.
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PIT vs CHC Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

79% picking Chi. Cubs

21%
79%

Total PicksPIT 186, CHC 686

Moneyline
PIT
CHC

PIT vs CHC Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Hitters such as Ke'Bryan Hayes with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jameson Taillon who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ke'Bryan Hayes's true offensive skill to be a .298, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .040 difference between that figure and his actual .258 wOBA.

Ke'Bryan Hayes logo

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Hitters such as Ke'Bryan Hayes with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jameson Taillon who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ke'Bryan Hayes's true offensive skill to be a .298, indicating that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .040 difference between that figure and his actual .258 wOBA.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Spencer Horwitz
S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Spencer Horwitz's batting average skill is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Spencer Horwitz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today. Spencer Horwitz has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Spencer Horwitz logo

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Spencer Horwitz's batting average skill is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Spencer Horwitz will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today. Spencer Horwitz has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Adam Frazier
A. Frazier
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Adam Frazier has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Jameson Taillon today. Adam Frazier has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Adam Frazier's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (15.3°) is considerably higher than his 11.9° mark last season.

Adam Frazier logo

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Adam Frazier has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (90% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Adam Frazier will have the handedness advantage over Jameson Taillon today. Adam Frazier has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Adam Frazier's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this year (15.3°) is considerably higher than his 11.9° mark last season.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Bats such as Isiah Kiner-Falefa with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jameson Taillon who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Isiah Kiner-Falefa's launch angle recently (24° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 5.3° seasonal figure. Checking in at the 92nd percentile, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has posted a .295 batting average this year.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 89th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Bats such as Isiah Kiner-Falefa with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Jameson Taillon who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Isiah Kiner-Falefa's launch angle recently (24° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit better than his 5.3° seasonal figure. Checking in at the 92nd percentile, Isiah Kiner-Falefa has posted a .295 batting average this year.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Andrew McCutchen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Andrew McCutchen has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last season's 93-mph figure.

Andrew McCutchen logo

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Andrew McCutchen ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Andrew McCutchen is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Andrew McCutchen pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences today. Andrew McCutchen has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 95.6-mph average to last season's 93-mph figure.

Jared Triolo Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Jared Triolo
J. Triolo
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Over the past 7 days, Jared Triolo's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.8%. In terms of his batting average, Jared Triolo has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .210 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .236.

Jared Triolo logo

Jared Triolo

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jared Triolo in the 77th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Over the past 7 days, Jared Triolo's 28.6% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 19.8%. In terms of his batting average, Jared Triolo has been unlucky since the start of last season. His .210 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .236.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Tommy Pham
T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Extreme flyball bats like Tommy Pham tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jameson Taillon. Despite posting a .234 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tommy Pham has had some very poor luck given the .069 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.

Tommy Pham logo

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Extreme flyball bats like Tommy Pham tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jameson Taillon. Despite posting a .234 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tommy Pham has had some very poor luck given the .069 deviation between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.

Michael Busch Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Michael Busch
M. Busch
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Michael Busch will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Michael Busch has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.1-mph mark.

Michael Busch logo

Michael Busch

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Michael Busch will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Michael Busch has seen a big gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.2-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal 91.1-mph mark.

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Oneil Cruz
O. Cruz
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game. Oneil Cruz has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 15.7% rate last year to 24.6% this year.

Oneil Cruz logo

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Jameson Taillon throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's game. Oneil Cruz has made sizeable gains with his Barrel%, upping his 15.7% rate last year to 24.6% this year.

Henry Davis Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Henry Davis
H. Davis
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Henry Davis pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Henry Davis has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games. Over the past 14 days, Henry Davis's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.2-mph of late. Henry Davis's launch angle in recent games (31.6° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 26.6° seasonal figure.

Henry Davis logo

Henry Davis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Henry Davis pulls a lot of his flyballs (35.9% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Henry Davis has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.2% seasonal rate to 20% in the past week's worth of games. Over the past 14 days, Henry Davis's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.9-mph over the course of the season to 95.2-mph of late. Henry Davis's launch angle in recent games (31.6° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit higher than his 26.6° seasonal figure.

Kyle Tucker Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Kyle Tucker
K. Tucker
right outfield RF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Kyle Tucker is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Pittsburgh (#1-worst of all teams on the slate today).

Kyle Tucker logo

Kyle Tucker

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Kyle Tucker projects as the 7th-best batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Kyle Tucker is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Pittsburgh (#1-worst of all teams on the slate today).

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup. Bryan Reynolds has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Bryan Reynolds logo

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this game. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Bryan Reynolds will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Jameson Taillon in today's matchup. Bryan Reynolds has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of the game's 6th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

Dansby Swanson Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Dansby Swanson
D. Swanson
shortstop SS • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an edge in today's game.

Dansby Swanson logo

Dansby Swanson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Dansby Swanson will have an edge in today's game.

Pete Crow-Armstrong Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Pete Crow-Armstrong
P. Crow-Armstrong
center outfield CF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Pete Crow-Armstrong logo

Pete Crow-Armstrong

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Pete Crow-Armstrong will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Ian Happ Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Ian Happ
I. Happ
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game.

Ian Happ logo

Ian Happ

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Ian Happ is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Ian Happ will hold that advantage in today's game.

Matt Shaw Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Matt Shaw
M. Shaw
third base 3B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Shaw in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Matt Shaw will have the upper hand today. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Matt Shaw will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Matt Shaw logo

Matt Shaw

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Shaw in the 79th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Matt Shaw will have the upper hand today. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Matt Shaw will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Carson Kelly Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Carson Kelly
C. Kelly
catcher C • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Carson Kelly will have an edge in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today.

Carson Kelly logo

Carson Kelly

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Carson Kelly will have an edge in today's matchup. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Carson Kelly will hold that advantage today.

Nico Hoerner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Nico Hoerner
N. Hoerner
second base 2B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Nico Hoerner will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Heaney today. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's game.

Nico Hoerner logo

Nico Hoerner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Nico Hoerner will have the handedness advantage against Andrew Heaney today. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Nico Hoerner will hold that advantage in today's game.

Seiya Suzuki Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Seiya Suzuki
S. Suzuki
left outfield LF • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have the upper hand in today's game.

Seiya Suzuki logo

Seiya Suzuki

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 19th-best batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Heaney throws from, Seiya Suzuki will have the upper hand in today's game.

Brett Sullivan Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Brett Sullivan
B. Sullivan
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.6
Best Odds

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Brett Sullivan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today.

Brett Sullivan logo

Brett Sullivan

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.6
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.6

Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Brett Sullivan will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jameson Taillon today.

Justin Turner Total Hits Props • Chi. Cubs

Justin Turner
J. Turner
first base 1B • Chi. Cubs
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Justin Turner will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Heaney today. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Justin Turner will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Justin Turner logo

Justin Turner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

Wrigley Field has the 5th-shallowest left field fences among all major league parks. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude among all parks, which generally leads to better offense. Justin Turner will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Heaney today. Among every team playing today, the 13th-best infield defense belongs to the Pittsburgh Pirates. Justin Turner will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Pittsburgh Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 CJONES1068 4-5-1 +24865
2 ThorsHammer 5-5-0 +20390
3 halfricanknight 4-6-0 +18418
4 MLBFan8848 6-3-1 +18105
5 samua 6-3-1 +16845
6 chefsloan7 5-4-1 +16115
7 braustin1 5-5-0 +15215
8 IronCity1 5-4-1 +15140
9 jnc3lb 7-2-1 +13730
10 uradonkey 5-5-0 +13455
All Pirates Money Leaders

Chi. Cubs Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 nbahoops 8-1-1 +25230
2 unique11 7-2-1 +19730
3 fleterod 6-3-1 +18835
4 J_T 6-4-0 +17030
5 2YELLOWDOGS 5-4-1 +16680
6 HOLLANDANDITALY 7-3-0 +16225
7 teslaxyz 3-6-1 +15740
8 witt297 6-3-1 +15460
9 ggtra333 8-1-1 +15325
10 DoctorNo 5-4-1 +15070
All Cubs Money Leaders
Top User Picks

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