Detroit @ Baltimore picks
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
DET vs BAL Picks
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Chris Vasile
Publishing Editor
Total Bases


Andrew Caley
Senior Betting Analyst
The Tigers' second baseman is 8-26 in his career vs. Kremer, good for a .311 xBA and a .471 xSLG.
Total RBIs

Ramon Laureano o0.5 Total RBIs (+275)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run skill, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ramon Laureano is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Batting from the opposite that Tarik Skubal throws from, Ramon Laureano will have an edge today.
Total RBIs

Dillon Dingler o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Dillon Dingler's BABIP skill is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Dillon Dingler's launch angle in recent games (38.3° in the last 7 days) is significantly better than his 16.2° seasonal angle.. By putting up a .338 BABIP since the start of last season, Dillon Dingler is ranked in the 90th percentile.
Total RBIs

Wenceel Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. As a switch-hitter who bats better from the 0 side of the plate, Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his good side against Keegan Akin in this game.. Wenceel Perez pulls many of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Wenceel Perez has made substantial strides with his Barrel%, improving his 4.4% rate last season to 15.4% this season.
Total RBIs

Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Gunnar Henderson ranks as the 17th-best hitter in the majors.. Gunnar Henderson is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Among every team playing today, the 14th-best infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
Total RBIs

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Spencer Torkelson is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Spencer Torkelson has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 6.8% rate last season to 14.5% this season.
Total RBIs

Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his BABIP ability, Riley Greene is projected as the 4th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Hitting from the opposite that Keegan Akin throws from, Riley Greene will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total Bases

Gleyber Torres o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Gleyber Torres's batting average talent is projected to be in the 89th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gleyber Torres is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Gleyber Torres has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.3%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Outs Recorded

Dean Kremer u17.5 Outs Recorded (-115)
Projection 15.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Dean Kremer is projected to throw 84 pitches in today's matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least of all pitchers today.. The shallowest right field fences among all major league stadiums are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Dean Kremer is an extreme flyball pitcher (35% FB% per the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #4 HR venue among all stadiums in this matchup.. In his previous start, Dean Kremer conceded a monstrous 5 earned runs.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Among every team playing today, the 14th-best infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Colton Cowser o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Colton Cowser's BABIP talent is projected in the 91st percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Oriole Park at Camden Yards as the 6th-best park in Major League Baseball for run-scoring.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest temperature on the slate at 90°.. Among every team playing today, the 14th-best infield defense is that of the the Detroit Tigers.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage today.