Washington @ New York Picks & Props

The #1 field in the league for suppressing BABIP to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Citi Field. Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Jake Irvin will hold the platoon advantage against Pete Alonso in today's matchup. Despite posting a .414 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Pete Alonso has been very fortunate given the .048 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .366.

Citi Field projects as the #29 field in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side (0) today against Jake Irvin In the last 7 days, Francisco Lindor's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 8.6% down to 0%. Over the last week, Francisco Lindor's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased from his seasonal mark of 93.1 mph to 74.9 mph.

Citi Field projects as the #29 field in the game for LHB BABIP, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Citi Field's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense. Brandon Nimmo has been cold in recent games, with his seasonal exit velocity of 92.4-mph dropping to 89.7-mph in the last week. In notching a .251 BABIP this year, Brandon Nimmo is ranked in the 15th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nathaniel Lowe in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Nathaniel Lowe is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Nathaniel Lowe can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Nathaniel Lowe has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.8%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects CJ Abrams in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. CJ Abrams is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Mets has just 1 same-handed RP.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the 2nd-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP ability. James Wood is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. The New York Mets have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so James Wood can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ronny Mauricio in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Ronny Mauricio will get to bat from his good side against Jake Irvin in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Ronny Mauricio will hold that advantage today.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Tyrone Taylor pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.7% — 87th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Tyrone Taylor will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats. Tyrone Taylor has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.8-mph to 90.9-mph in the past 14 days. Tyrone Taylor's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, going from 13.5% to 17.6%.

Juan Soto projects as the 4th-best hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Juan Soto is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Juan Soto will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Amed Rosario's batting average talent is projected to be in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Amed Rosario is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Amed Rosario will have the upper hand today. Amed Rosario hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Torrens in the 79th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Luis Torrens hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's shallowest CF fences today. Luis Torrens will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Luis Torrens has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.7-mph to 95.9-mph over the last week.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Brett Baty will hold the platoon advantage over Jake Irvin in today's matchup. Brett Baty has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brett Baty will hold that advantage in today's game. Brett Baty has made big gains with his Barrel%, upping his 5.5% rate last year to 15% this year.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Alex Call will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Alex Call has made big improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 6.1% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week's worth of games. Alex Call has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.4-mph average in the past 7 days to his seasonal mark of 91.2-mph.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Riley Adams will hold the platoon advantage against David Peterson in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Riley Adams has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .190 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .230. Riley Adams's 95.5-mph exit velocity on flyballs (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 90th percentile since the start of last season.

Jeff McNeil is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 81% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Jeff McNeil will have an advantage in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Jeff McNeil will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Keibert Ruiz pulls a lot of his flyballs (38.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences today. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Keibert Ruiz has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 16.1° compared to his seasonal mark of 4.3°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Young in the 87th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that David Peterson throws from, Jacob Young will have an edge today. As it relates to his batting average, Jacob Young has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .252 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .278.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield fences in the majors. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters. Batting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Jared Young will have an edge today. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Jared Young will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Josh Bell has gone over 0.5 in 8 of his last 10 games.