Cincinnati @ Cleveland Picks & Props

The #3 park in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball batters like Bo Naylor are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Nick Lodolo. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Bo Naylor will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Jones in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. The #3 park in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Nolan Jones has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Santiago Espinal in the 24th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. The Cleveland Guardians infield defense grades out as the 4th-best among every team today. Playing on the road typically weakens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Santiago Espinal in today's matchup. Santiago Espinal's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (5.8°) is significantly lower than his 11.3° angle last year. Santiago Espinal's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (1.6° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably worse than his 5.8° seasonal figure.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Progressive Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Spencer Steer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Allen today. Spencer Steer pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (36.2% — 92nd percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today.

When starting against a left-handed starter this year, Steven Kwan has been pulled from the game early 10% of the time. Hitting from the same side that Nick Lodolo throws from, Steven Kwan will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Steven Kwan's launch angle of late (6° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 12.3° seasonal angle. Steven Kwan has been cold of late, compiling a 0% Barrel% (an advanced stat to assess power) over the last 7 days. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Steven Kwan's true offensive ability to be a .309, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .038 deviation between that mark and his actual .347 wOBA.

When assessing his BABIP ability, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Progressive Field's left field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Progressive Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Matt McLain will have an edge in today's matchup. Matt McLain has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 104-mph average over the last week to his seasonal figure of 94.3-mph.

TJ Friedl is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #3 park in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.5% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 6th-shallowest RF fences today. In the past 7 days, TJ Friedl's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 88.8-mph over the course of the season to 93.7-mph recently.

The #3 park in the league for boosting BABIP to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Progressive Field. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Dom Nunez pulls a lot of his flyballs (34% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 6th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among every team in action today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Dom Nunez will hold that advantage today.

Jose Ramirez's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased of late; his 91-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 83.7-mph in the past 7 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.283) provides evidence that Jose Ramirez has been very fortunate this year with his .332 actual batting average.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christian Encarnacion-Strand is penciled in 4th in the lineup in today's game. Progressive Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have an edge in today's matchup.

Progressive Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Angel Martinez will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side (0) today against Nick Lodolo. Angel Martinez pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.8% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among every team in action today.

Lane Thomas is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this game. Progressive Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Lane Thomas will have an edge today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 5th-weakest among every team in action today.

Progressive Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Jose Trevino will have an advantage in today's matchup. Jose Trevino pulls many of his flyballs (33.6% — 77th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Jose Trevino's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 35.3% to 40.9%.

Carlos Santana is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. Progressive Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Carlos Santana will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Nick Lodolo today. Carlos Santana pulls a lot of his flyballs (40.1% — 98th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Tyler Stephenson is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Progressive Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Tyler Stephenson will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's game.

David Fry is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today. Progressive Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, David Fry will have an edge in today's matchup. David Fry pulls many of his flyballs (35.1% — 89th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Johnathan Rodriguez in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Progressive Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Among all major league parks, Progressive Field's left field fences are the 3rd-shallowest. Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Johnathan Rodriguez will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Progressive Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Connor Joe will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Allen in today's game. Connor Joe's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 90.4-mph now compared to just 85.3-mph then.

Gabriel Arias's BABIP talent is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Gabriel Arias is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Progressive Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Nick Lodolo throws from, Gabriel Arias will have the upper hand in today's game.

Progressive Field profiles as the #3 ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Progressive Field sits at the 7th-highest elevation in MLB. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Batting from the opposite that Logan Allen throws from, Garrett Hampson will have an edge today. There has been a significant improvement in Garrett Hampson's launch angle from last year's 15.9° to 20.8° this year.

Will Benson has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.