Chicago @ Philadelphia picks
Citizens Bank Park
CHC vs PHI Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Eric Rosales
Betting Analyst
The Cubs have one of the best offenses in baseball and Phillies starter Jesus Luzardo's strong start to the season feels like a lifetime ago. This isn't a get-right spot for the lefty.
Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the game.. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 82°.. Out of all the teams today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.
Total RBIs

Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°.. Dansby Swanson will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs

Nick Castellanos o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Nick Castellanos's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°.. Nick Castellanos will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Carson Kelly o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Carson Kelly is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°.. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.
Total RBIs

Alec Bohm o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Alec Bohm has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Alec Bohm will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Seiya Suzuki projects as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°.. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Seiya Suzuki will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total Bases (-155)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°.. Hitting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's game.
Total Bases

Kyle Tucker o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the game.. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.
Total Bases

Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Dansby Swanson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°.. Dansby Swanson will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Tucker o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-118)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the game.. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.