Chicago @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the game. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Ben Brown throws from, Alec Bohm will have a disadvantage today. Over the last 7 days, Alec Bohm's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%. Alec Bohm's launch angle this season (6.4°) is quite a bit lower than his 10° mark last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pete Crow-Armstrong in the 82nd percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Pete Crow-Armstrong has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nico Hoerner in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Nico Hoerner will have a massive advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ian Happ in the 89th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Ian Happ is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.

Citizens Bank Park profiles as the #24 venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which tends to lead to lower offensive output. Batting from the same side that Ben Brown throws from, Trea Turner meets a tough challenge in today's game. Trea Turner has experienced some positive variance in regards to his batting average this year; his .299 rate is a good deal higher than his .270 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Seiya Suzuki projects as the 19th-best hitter in Major League Baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Seiya Suzuki is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Seiya Suzuki will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Dansby Swanson ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Dansby Swanson is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Dansby Swanson will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo today... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

Bryson Stott's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Batting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Bryson Stott will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Bryson Stott will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 79th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Home field advantage generally improves batter stats across the board, and Otto Kemp will hold that advantage in today's matchup. In the last week's worth of games, Otto Kemp has averaged an impressive 97.8-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential.

Max Kepler is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Max Kepler will hold the platoon advantage against Ben Brown today. Max Kepler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

Carson Kelly is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Carson Kelly will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Shaw in the 79th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Matt Shaw will have an enormous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Kyle Schwarber ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Hitting from the opposite that Ben Brown throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's matchup. J.T. Realmuto has made substantial strides with his Barrel% of late, bettering his 10.2% seasonal rate to 15.4% in the last 7 days.

Nick Castellanos's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Castellanos is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup. HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Nick Castellanos will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today.

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Justin Turner will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among all the teams today. Justin Turner's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 19.1% to 30.4%.

HRs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest in MLB. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is expected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the schedule today at 84°. Extreme flyball bats like Johan Rojas tend to be more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Ben Brown. Johan Rojas will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Johan Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 34.9% to 40.5%.