Chicago @ Philadelphia picks
Citizens Bank Park
CHC vs PHI Picks
MLB Picks
MoneyLine

Ryan Gilbert
Betting Analyst
The Cubs have also been losing steam on this road trip. They won two of three in Washington, scoring just seven runs while losing two of three in Detroit, and they mustered just two runs last night. Chicago is now 20-15 on the road, while the Phillies are 20-12 at home (18-16 on the road). The Phillies also thrive against right-handed starters, boasting a 29-16 record against that split.
Total RBIs

Seiya Suzuki o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Seiya Suzuki projects as the 17th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Seiya Suzuki is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.. The Barrel% of Seiya Suzuki has significantly improved, with an increase from 11.5% last year to 18.8% this year.
Total RBIs

Kyle Tucker o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best hitter in the game.. Kyle Tucker is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Hitting from the opposite that Mick Abel throws from, Kyle Tucker will have an edge in today's game.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs

Trea Turner o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 13th-best hitter in the league when assessing his batting average skill.. Trea Turner is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Trea Turner will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Trea Turner has made big strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past week.
Total RBIs

Michael Busch o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Michael Busch ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the opposite that Mick Abel throws from, Michael Busch will have an edge in today's matchup.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.. Michael Busch has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 14.7% seasonal rate to 20% in the past 14 days.
Total RBIs

Kyle Schwarber o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Kyle Schwarber as baseball's 3rd-best home run batter.. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the opposite that Colin Rea throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's game.. Kyle Schwarber will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Dansby Swanson o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams in action today.. In the last week, Dansby Swanson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 17.6%.
Total RBIs

Alec Bohm o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.. Alec Bohm has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (63% of the time), but he is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Alec Bohm will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Alec Bohm has been unlucky this year, putting up a .300 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .325 — a .025 gap.
Total Bases

Bryson Stott o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability.. Bryson Stott is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Bryson Stott will hold the platoon advantage over Colin Rea in today's game.. Bryson Stott has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.2%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases

Dansby Swanson o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dansby Swanson in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Dansby Swanson is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this game.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. The Philadelphia Phillies outfield defense projects as the worst out of all the teams in action today.. In the last week, Dansby Swanson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 12.2% up to 17.6%.
Total Bases

Max Kepler o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the 5th-best hitting weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Max Kepler will have the handedness advantage over Colin Rea in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Max Kepler will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Max Kepler has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.2% rate last season to 12.7% this season.. Max Kepler's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, rising from 13.8% to 19.2%.