Seattle @ Arizona picks

Give me the over here. Brandon Pfaadt has been atrocious over his last handful of starts, getting hit hard and giving up plenty of runs. The Mariners will counter with Bryan Woo, who has given up seven runs over his last two starts, including a pair of home runs in both games. Give me runs on Tuesday night. 

Pfaadt had a very rough May. He compiled a 8.10 ERA across eight starts, allowing 24 earned runs in 26 2/3 frames. June didn’t start well either, giving up five earned runs last Thursday against the Braves. The righty has cashed the Over in earned runs surrendered in five consecutive appearances.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 9th-best batter in the game.. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.. Ketel Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In the past week's worth of games, Ketel Marte's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.5% up to 31.3%.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average talent is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Compared to last year, Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.9% to 49.5% this season.. Over the past week, Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s 56.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 49.5%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 9th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez's true offensive ability to be a .363, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .046 gap between that mark and his actual .317 wOBA.. Checking in at the 91st percentile, the hardest ball Julio Rodriguez has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.7 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time HR ability (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Logan Evans has a pitch-to-contact profile (19th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.. Typically, hitters like Eugenio Suarez who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bryan Woo.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Randy Arozarena has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last season's 90.4-mph mark.. Randy Arozarena has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.4-mph to 94.6-mph over the last 7 days.. Randy Arozarena's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (24° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 12.1° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time HR ability (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Logan Evans has a pitch-to-contact profile (19th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.. Typically, hitters like Eugenio Suarez who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bryan Woo.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 9th-best hitter in the league when it comes to his batting average ability.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Julio Rodriguez's true offensive ability to be a .363, suggesting that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .046 gap between that mark and his actual .317 wOBA.. Checking in at the 91st percentile, the hardest ball Julio Rodriguez has made contact with this year reached a maximum exit velocity of 114.7 mph -- an advanced indication of underlying power skill.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Eugenio Suarez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card today.. Eugenio Suarez has big-time HR ability (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (27.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Logan Evans has a pitch-to-contact profile (19th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.. Typically, hitters like Eugenio Suarez who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Bryan Woo.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Randy Arozarena has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last season's 90.4-mph mark.. Randy Arozarena has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.4-mph to 94.6-mph over the last 7 days.. Randy Arozarena's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls of late (24° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is quite a bit better than his 12.1° seasonal figure.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 9th-best batter in the game.. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense grades out as the 4th-weakest among every team in action today.. Ketel Marte will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.. In the past week's worth of games, Ketel Marte's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 16.5% up to 31.3%.