San Francisco @ Colorado Picks & Props

SF vs COL Picks

MLB Picks
Total RBIs
Brenton Doyle logo
Brenton Doyle o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 79th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Brenton Doyle will have an advantage today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
Total RBIs
Keston Hiura logo
Keston Hiura o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Keston Hiura in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run ability.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Keston Hiura will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
Total RBIs
Hunter Goodman logo
Hunter Goodman o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run skill.. Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Hunter Goodman will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game.
Total RBIs
Willy Adames logo
Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 90th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Willy Adames is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Given Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Willy Adames will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish today.
Total RBIs
Kyle Farmer logo
Kyle Farmer o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Kyle Farmer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Kyle Farmer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game.. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.
Total RBIs
Ryan McMahon logo
Ryan McMahon o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 81st percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Ryan McMahon will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP.
Total RBIs
Heliot Ramos logo
Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (-105)
Projection 1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 93rd percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Given Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Heliot Ramos will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Matt Chapman logo
Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (-110)
Projection 1 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Matt Chapman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last year to this one, going from 11.2% to 20.6%.. In the last 7 days, Matt Chapman's 37.5% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 20.6%.. In notching a .342 Expected wOBA (or xwOBA, an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year, Matt Chapman is ranked in the 79th percentile for hitting ability.
Total RBIs
Tyler Fitzgerald logo
Tyler Fitzgerald o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Given Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Tyler Fitzgerald will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. Tyler Fitzgerald has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 88.4-mph.
Total RBIs
Wilmer Flores logo
Wilmer Flores o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 6 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Wilmer Flores is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters.. Wilmer Flores will hold the platoon advantage against Carson Palmquist in today's matchup... and moreover, Palmquist has a large platoon split.. Checking in at the 85th percentile for power, Wilmer Flores has averaged 30.2 homers per 600 plate appearances this year.
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SF vs COL Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Moneyline

81% picking San Francisco

81%
19%

Total PicksSF 683, COL 165

Moneyline
SF
COL

SF vs COL Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Brenton Doyle Total Hits Props • Colorado

Brenton Doyle
B. Doyle
center outfield CF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Brenton Doyle will have an advantage today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage today.

Brenton Doyle logo

Brenton Doyle

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Brenton Doyle will have an advantage today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage today.

Ryan McMahon Total Hits Props • Colorado

Ryan McMahon
R. McMahon
third base 3B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Ryan McMahon will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

Ryan McMahon logo

Ryan McMahon

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Ryan McMahon will probably have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the San Francisco Giants only has 1 same-handed RP. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

Kyle Farmer Total Hits Props • Colorado

Kyle Farmer
K. Farmer
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Kyle Farmer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Kyle Farmer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

Kyle Farmer logo

Kyle Farmer

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Kyle Farmer has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Kyle Farmer will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

Wilmer Flores Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Wilmer Flores
W. Flores
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilmer Flores in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Typically, hitters like Wilmer Flores who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Carson Palmquist. Wilmer Flores will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Wilmer Flores's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%. Wilmer Flores's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 91-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 88.6-mph over the past two weeks.

Wilmer Flores logo

Wilmer Flores

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilmer Flores in the 2nd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Typically, hitters like Wilmer Flores who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Carson Palmquist. Wilmer Flores will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Over the past 7 days, Wilmer Flores's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 6.7% down to 0%. Wilmer Flores's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased in recent games; his 91-mph seasonal figure has dropped to 88.6-mph over the past two weeks.

Dominic Smith Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Dominic Smith
D. Smith
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. In the past week, Dominic Smith's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 41.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. Dominic Smith is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.3% rate since the start of last season).

Dominic Smith logo

Dominic Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Dominic Smith stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game. In the past week, Dominic Smith's swing has been well optimized for home runs, notching a 41.7% of balls hit with a launch angle in the optimal range of 23° to 34°. Dominic Smith is in the 99th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to optimize home runs (21.3% rate since the start of last season).

Jerar Encarnacion Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Jerar Encarnacion
J. Encarnacion
right outfield RF • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Jerar Encarnacion has been pinch hit for 14% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jerar Encarnacion today.

Jerar Encarnacion logo

Jerar Encarnacion

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jerar Encarnacion has been pinch hit for 14% of the time when starting against a left-handed pitcher since the start of last season. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jerar Encarnacion today.

Ryan Ritter Total Hits Props • Colorado

Ryan Ritter
R. Ritter
shortstop SS • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Ryan Ritter will have an advantage today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Ryan Ritter will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Ryan Ritter logo

Ryan Ritter

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Kyle Harrison throws from, Ryan Ritter will have an advantage today. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Ryan Ritter will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Matt Chapman Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Matt Chapman
M. Chapman
third base 3B • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Matt Chapman's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 94.3-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 92-mph over the last 7 days.

Matt Chapman logo

Matt Chapman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Matt Chapman's average exit velocity has declined recently; his 94.3-mph seasonal mark has decreased to 92-mph over the last 7 days.

Keston Hiura Total Hits Props • Colorado

Keston Hiura
K. Hiura
first base 1B • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Keston Hiura will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Keston Hiura will hold that advantage today.

Keston Hiura logo

Keston Hiura

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Keston Hiura will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kyle Harrison in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Keston Hiura will hold that advantage today.

Jung Hoo Lee Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Jung Hoo Lee
J. Lee
center outfield CF • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Prop
1.5 Total Hits
Projection
1.5
Best Odds
Projection Rating

When estimating his batting average talent, Jung Hoo Lee is projected as the 19th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jung Hoo Lee is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jung Hoo Lee stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Jung Hoo Lee logo

Jung Hoo Lee

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.5
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.5

When estimating his batting average talent, Jung Hoo Lee is projected as the 19th-best batter in baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jung Hoo Lee is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jung Hoo Lee stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.

Heliot Ramos Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Heliot Ramos
H. Ramos
left outfield LF • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.4
Best Odds

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heliot Ramos in today's game. Heliot Ramos's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 95.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 88.6-mph in the past two weeks. Heliot Ramos's launch angle this year (6.9°) is considerably lower than his 10.3° figure last season. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 14.4% on the season to 10.5% over the past 7 days. As it relates to his batting average, Heliot Ramos has had some very good luck this year. His .294 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .271.

Heliot Ramos logo

Heliot Ramos

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.4
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.4

Playing on the road typically lessens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Heliot Ramos in today's game. Heliot Ramos's exit velocity on flyballs has declined of late; his 95.2-mph seasonal average has dropped to 88.6-mph in the past two weeks. Heliot Ramos's launch angle this year (6.9°) is considerably lower than his 10.3° figure last season. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 14.4% on the season to 10.5% over the past 7 days. As it relates to his batting average, Heliot Ramos has had some very good luck this year. His .294 rate has been quite a bit higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .271.

Tyler Freeman Total Hits Props • Colorado

Tyler Freeman
T. Freeman
right outfield RF • Colorado
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Tyler Freeman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Tyler Freeman will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Harrison in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

Tyler Freeman logo

Tyler Freeman

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Tyler Freeman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Tyler Freeman will hold the platoon advantage over Kyle Harrison in today's game. Out of every team on the slate today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the the San Francisco Giants.

Jordan Beck Total Hits Props • Colorado

Jordan Beck
J. Beck
left outfield LF • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

11% of the time that Jordan Beck has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early. Jordan Beck's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 84.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Jordan Beck has been lucky this year, posting a .344 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .044 difference. When it comes to plate discipline, Jordan Beck's skill is quite weak, putting up a 4.44 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 15th percentile.

Jordan Beck logo

Jordan Beck

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

11% of the time that Jordan Beck has started against a left-handed pitcher this year, he has been pulled from the game early. Jordan Beck's average exit velocity has fallen off recently; his 88-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 84.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Jordan Beck has been lucky this year, posting a .344 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .300 — a .044 difference. When it comes to plate discipline, Jordan Beck's skill is quite weak, putting up a 4.44 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 15th percentile.

Casey Schmitt Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Casey Schmitt
C. Schmitt
first base 1B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Casey Schmitt will have the handedness advantage against Carson Palmquist in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Palmquist has a large platoon split. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) suggests that Casey Schmitt has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .229 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Casey Schmitt's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 84th percentile at 94.8 mph.

Casey Schmitt logo

Casey Schmitt

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Casey Schmitt will have the handedness advantage against Carson Palmquist in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Palmquist has a large platoon split. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.248) suggests that Casey Schmitt has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season with his .229 actual batting average. Since the start of last season, Casey Schmitt's flyball exit velocity (a reliable stat to assess power) grades out in the 84th percentile at 94.8 mph.

Tyler Fitzgerald Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Tyler Fitzgerald
T. Fitzgerald
second base 2B • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Given Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Tyler Fitzgerald will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Tyler Fitzgerald has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 88.4-mph.

Tyler Fitzgerald logo

Tyler Fitzgerald

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Fitzgerald in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Given Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Tyler Fitzgerald will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. Tyler Fitzgerald has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 88.4-mph.

Thairo Estrada Total Hits Props • Colorado

Thairo Estrada
T. Estrada
second base 2B • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Thairo Estrada ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Thairo Estrada has struggled to lift the ball of late, putting up a 6.2° launch angle over the last 14 days. Based on Statcast data, Thairo Estrada ranks in the 9th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .269. Thairo Estrada's 86.1-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in the league since the start of last season: 9th percentile. Thairo Estrada has put up a .255 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 3rd percentile.

Thairo Estrada logo

Thairo Estrada

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Thairo Estrada ranks in the 21st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Thairo Estrada has struggled to lift the ball of late, putting up a 6.2° launch angle over the last 14 days. Based on Statcast data, Thairo Estrada ranks in the 9th percentile for offensive skills via the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season at .269. Thairo Estrada's 86.1-mph average exit velocity is one of the worst in the league since the start of last season: 9th percentile. Thairo Estrada has put up a .255 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) since the start of last season, placing in the 3rd percentile.

Willy Adames Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Willy Adames
W. Adames
shortstop SS • San Francisco
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

Typically, hitters like Willy Adames who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Carson Palmquist. Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Willy Adames has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks. Willy Adames's average exit velocity has declined lately; his 88.2-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 84.3-mph over the past two weeks. By putting up a .201 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Willy Adames finds himself in the 4th percentile.

Willy Adames logo

Willy Adames

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

Typically, hitters like Willy Adames who hit a lot of groundballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Carson Palmquist. Willy Adames will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Willy Adames has taken a step back with his Barrel% in recent games; his 9.5% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks. Willy Adames's average exit velocity has declined lately; his 88.2-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 84.3-mph over the past two weeks. By putting up a .201 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) using Statcast data) this year , Willy Adames finds himself in the 4th percentile.

Hunter Goodman Total Hits Props • Colorado

Hunter Goodman
H. Goodman
catcher C • Colorado
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.217) provides evidence that Hunter Goodman has been lucky this year with his .280 actual batting average. Hunter Goodman has displayed bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 12th percentile with a 4.92 K/BB rate.

Hunter Goodman logo

Hunter Goodman

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Hunter Goodman in the 20th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.217) provides evidence that Hunter Goodman has been lucky this year with his .280 actual batting average. Hunter Goodman has displayed bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 12th percentile with a 4.92 K/BB rate.

Patrick Bailey Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Patrick Bailey
P. Bailey
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Patrick Bailey has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 92.6-mph over the last two weeks. Patrick Bailey's launch angle in recent games (26° over the past week) is considerably better than his 19° seasonal angle. Patrick Bailey has been unlucky this year, posting a .231 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .283 — a .052 difference.

Patrick Bailey logo

Patrick Bailey

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Patrick Bailey has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88.7-mph to 92.6-mph over the last two weeks. Patrick Bailey's launch angle in recent games (26° over the past week) is considerably better than his 19° seasonal angle. Patrick Bailey has been unlucky this year, posting a .231 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .283 — a .052 difference.

Andrew Knizner Total Hits Props • San Francisco

Andrew Knizner
A. Knizner
catcher C • San Francisco
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Given Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Andrew Knizner will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Andrew Knizner has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .163 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .265. Posting a .260 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Andrew Knizner is positioned in the 80th percentile.

Andrew Knizner logo

Andrew Knizner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the hottest temperature on the schedule today at 85°. The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-best of the day for hitters. Given Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Andrew Knizner will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Andrew Knizner has experienced some negative variance since the start of last season. His .163 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .265. Posting a .260 Expected Batting Average (an advanced metric created by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) utilizing Statcast data) since the start of last season , Andrew Knizner is positioned in the 80th percentile.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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San Francisco Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 chefsloan7 7-3-0 +18210
2 charro23 5-4-1 +17850
3 jazzmatazz 6-4-0 +17510
4 alayne89 6-4-0 +17150
5 doomsday07 7-3-0 +16820
6 Huskerdave 6-4-0 +15895
7 Midway28 8-2-0 +15680
8 DaBoss80 6-4-0 +15400
9 CNOTES 7-3-0 +14830
10 JayAcosta20 5-5-0 +14695
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Colorado Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 doomsday07 7-2-1 +28415
2 leafs126 8-2-0 +28005
3 adgadg222 8-2-0 +26815
4 lusvegasluva 4-6-0 +23010
5 Dogface253 7-2-1 +22855
6 moneyformo 7-3-0 +21495
7 ND21 9-1-0 +21105
8 Hoosier 7-2-1 +20260
9 fishercz 8-1-1 +19955
10 simoncald 9-1-0 +19655
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