New York @ Colorado Picks & Props

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Playing on the road generally reduces batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Brandon Nimmo today. Brandon Nimmo's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls recently (5.3° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit worse than his 9.1° seasonal angle. Grading out in the 12th percentile, Brandon Nimmo sports a .248 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage today. Brenton Doyle has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .254 figure is deflated compared to his .305 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jeff McNeil's BABIP talent is projected in the 16th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Playing on the road generally lessens batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Jeff McNeil today. Despite posting a .331 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jeff McNeil has had positive variance on his side given the .028 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .303.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. The switch-hitting Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage batting from his bad side (0) today against Chase Dollander Francisco Lindor will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Francisco Lindor's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 44.4% to 38.7%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Tyler Freeman will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Tyler Freeman has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.8-mph to 94-mph in the last 7 days. Tyler Freeman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, rising from 40.9% to 48%.

Tyrone Taylor has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.7-mph to 90.8-mph in the last 7 days. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.312) suggests that Tyrone Taylor has had bad variance on his side this year with his .278 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ronny Mauricio in the 82nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Ronny Mauricio will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Chase Dollander in today's game. A consistent launch angle is an indicator of good hitting, and Ronny Mauricio has been very consistent with his lately, notching a 48.4° launch angle standard deviation in the past week.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today. Hitting from the opposite that Tylor Megill throws from, Ryan McMahon will have the upper hand in today's game. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats in all categories, and Ryan McMahon will hold that advantage today. Ryan McMahon has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 94.2-mph average to last season's 92-mph mark.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Chase Dollander will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Pete Alonso in today's game. Pete Alonso will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pete Alonso's true offensive talent to be a .366, implying that he has had positive variance on his side this year given the .046 difference between that figure and his actual .412 wOBA.

Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically improves batter stats across the board, and Keston Hiura will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Sam Hilliard will have the handedness advantage over Tylor Megill in today's matchup. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Sam Hilliard will hold that advantage today. In the past 7 days, Sam Hilliard has averaged an impressive 104.1-mph exit velocity on his flyballs, an advanced measure of home run potential. With a .335 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) since the start of last season, Sam Hilliard grades out in the 86th percentile.

Thairo Estrada is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Thairo Estrada will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Thairo Estrada has been honed in on the ideal launch angle for base hits recently, hitting balls between -4° and 26° 60% of the time in the past 14 days. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Thairo Estrada has had bad variance on his side since the start of last season. His .258 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .271.

In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather forecast projects the 3rd-most favorable pitching conditions of all games today. The wind projects to be blowing in from RF at 8.1-mph in this game, the 3rd-most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Juan Soto will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player today. Juan Soto's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 39.5% on the season to 30.6% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Beck in the 75th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Jordan Beck is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Jordan Beck will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jordan Beck has made big gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.6% rate last season to 14.6% this year.

Ryan Ritter is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #1 field in MLB for boosting batting average to righties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense. Ryan Ritter will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Brett Baty will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Chase Dollander in today's game. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Brett Baty has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Extreme groundball hitters like Brett Baty are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Chase Dollander. The Barrel% of Brett Baty has significantly improved, with an increase from 5.5% last year to 14.4% this season. Compared to last season, Brett Baty has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 11.8% to 19.6% this season.

Extreme flyball bats like Orlando Arcia usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Tylor Megill. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Orlando Arcia will hold the home field advantage today, which should bolster all of his stats.

Francisco Alvarez has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.6-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph figure.

Hunter Goodman is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Among all the teams today, the 4th-worst infield defense is that of the the New York Mets. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Hunter Goodman will hold that advantage today. Hunter Goodman has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 11% seasonal rate to 36.4% in the past 7 days. Hunter Goodman has seen a big increase in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 102-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 91-mph average.