Baltimore @ Athletics picks
Sutter Health Park
BAL vs ATH Picks
MLB Picks
Total Home Runs


Quinn Allen
Betting Analyst
Lawrence Butler, who is batting .391 in June, has never faced Charlie Morton, but the righty has allowed 10 home runs in just 14 outings, with five coming off left-handed bats.
Total RBIs

Coby Mayo o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Extreme flyball bats like Coby Mayo usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Luis Severino.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Athletics.. Sacramento's 3rd-worst outfield defense on the slate creates a favorable matchup for Coby Mayo, who tends to hit a lot of flyballs.
Total RBIs

Ramon Laureano o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 86th percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Athletics.
Total RBIs

Brent Rooker o0.5 Total RBIs (+125)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Brent Rooker projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brent Rooker is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Brent Rooker will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Max Muncy has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 10.7-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage today.. In the last week's worth of games, Max Muncy's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 5.9% up to 20%.
Total RBIs

Ryan O'Hearn o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ryan O'Hearn's batting average skill is projected to be in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ryan O'Hearn is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lawrence Butler in the 87th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Lawrence Butler is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this game.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Batting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Lawrence Butler will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs

Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have an edge today.
Total RBIs

Colton Cowser o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Colton Cowser's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Colton Cowser will have the handedness advantage over Luis Severino in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Athletics.
Total RBIs

JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. JJ Bleday will have the handedness advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup.. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats across the board, and JJ Bleday will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates JJ Bleday's true offensive ability to be a .321, indicating that he has had bad variance on his side this year given the .039 gap between that figure and his actual .282 wOBA.
Total RBIs

Heston Kjerstad o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heston Kjerstad in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-hottest temperature of all games today at 86°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 11.5-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Luis Severino throws from, Heston Kjerstad will have the upper hand in today's game.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst outfield defense is that of the the Athletics.